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When will Associate Justice of the Supreme court Ruth Bader Ginsburg announce resignation?

Background: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/06/washington/06ginsburg.html?_r=1&hp


Justice Ginsburg, 75, was appointed to the court in 1993 by President Bill Clinton. She was born in Brooklyn in 1933, graduated from Cornell in 1954 and first attended law school at Harvard, where she was on the law review. After moving to New York with her husband, she transferred to Columbia, joining its law review as well. She taught at Columbia and Rutgers, and was a leading courtroom advocate for women’s rights.

Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg underwent surgery at the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center in New York on Thursday for what was apparently early-stage pancreatic cancer, according to a statement released by the Supreme Court.

The surgery followed the discovery of a lesion during an annual check-up in late January at the National Institutes of Health in Bethesda, Md. A CAT scan revealed a small tumor, approximately one centimeter across, in the center of the pancreas, the court’s statement said.

According to Dr. Murray Brennan, the attending surgeon, Justice Ginsburg will most likely remain in the hospital approximately for seven to 10 days, the statement added. A spokeswoman for Sloan-Kettering declined to elaborate.

Category Editor Clarification
Market will use the date she announces her resignation as the settlement date. For example, If she was to announce May 2nd, that she resign on Sept 30th. The market would settle as May.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
February
0%
March - April
0%
May
0%
June
0%
July
0%
August
0%
September
0%
October
1%
November - Dicember
1%
Doesn't resign in 2009
97%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 5:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: February: 10%, March - April: 10%, May: 10%, June: 10%, July: 10%, August: 10%, September: 10%, October: 10%, November - Dicember: 10%, Doesn't resign in 2009: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 5th Feb 5:56pm PST by balcacer

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 5:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (85)

8 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted November - Dicember (H$100 at 4%)
8 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted October (H$100 at 4%)
24 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted November - Dicember (H$50 at 3%)
24 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted October (H$50 at 3%)
25 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted August (H$100 at 1%)

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