Created Fri 6th Feb 7:08am PST by 
jamesc
jamesc 
Flash or Silverlight: Who will win the race to the iPhone
Background: Both Adobe and Microsoft know that the iPhone is the hotest battle ground to control rich media solution
http://softwaredev.itbusinessnet.com/articles/viewarticle.jsp?id=630745
http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2008/nov/04/adobe-flash-player-microsoft-silverlight
Editor's clarification: I will settle this as 'Neither' if neither are on it at the suspend date.
http://softwaredev.itbusinessnet.com/articles/viewarticle.jsp?id=630745
http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2008/nov/04/adobe-flash-player-microsoft-silverlight
Editor's clarification: I will settle this as 'Neither' if neither are on it at the suspend date.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Silverlight |
| ||||
| Flash |
| ||||
| Neither |
|
Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$50,243 |
- Predictions: 204 |
Comments: 7
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Silverlight: 15%, Flash: 20%, Neither: 65%
Action history:
Created Fri 6th Feb 7:08am PST by jamesc
jamesc
Changed Description Sun 21st Jun 1:13pm PST by 
nigeleccles![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
nigeleccles: show details ... to control rich media solution <<br/> <a href="http://softwaredev. ... /viewarticle.jsp?id=630745</a> <><br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... -flash-player-microsoft-silverlight</a>><br/> <br/> Editor's clarification: I will settle this as 'Neither' if neither are on it at the suspend date.
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (204)
maartenkaas
predicted Neither (H$211 at 75%)
mungo10Comments (7)
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http://www.macworld.com/article/138572/adobe_ceo_says_flash_on_iphone_is_a_hard_technical_challenge.html (Feb 2, 2009)
Silverlight won't make it soon, I guess, because it depends on the .Net framework. And porting .Net to the IPhone will be not so easy. They'll concentrate on the Windows Mobile platform, I guess.
http://reddevnews.com/news/article.aspx?editorialsid=10565
if it's not an Adobe Flash but a hacked version... or
same thing for Ms Silverlight... with Moonlight from Mono Team
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