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Created Sat 7th Feb 3:50pm PST by

gonegonegone Level 15, Seer (H$320,788)

Gold versus the DOW. Which will shine brightest on Friday 13 February?

Settled as Gold ahead by more than1200

www.marketwatch.com
Settles as gold ahead by more than 1200
gold was 942.20 and the Dow closed at 7850
9422 minus 7850 equals 1572

Background:

Background: On Friday 6 Feb the DJIA closed at 8281
Gold closed at 914.30
For this question we use the first 4 digits of the DJIA and the whole dollar digits plus 1st decimal of the spot gold price, ie starting market is 9143 v 8281 ; Gold ahead by 862

Glad to see the Dow close the gap but can it continue?

Suspends Thursday midday EST

Suspend date is noon EST Thursday 29 Jan

Settlement details:DJIA and gold closing price 13 February 09 as quoted on www.marketwatch.com

Forecast history %

Gold ahead by more than1200

78%

Gold ahead by 1001 - 1200

Gold ahead by 801 - 1000

Gold ahead by 601 - 800

Gold ahead by 401 - 600

Gold ahead by 201 -400

Gold ahead by 1 - 200

Dow ahead by 1 - 200

Dow ahead by 201 - 400

Dow ahead by 401 or more

Settled as Gold ahead by more than1200 on Sun 15th Feb 7:07am PST

Activity: H$31,605
Predictions: 142
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Thu 12th Feb 9am PST
Settlement date: Sun 15th Feb 7:07am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 12th Feb 9am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Gold ahead by more than1200: 10%, Gold ahead by 1001 - 1200: 12%, Gold ahead by 801 - 1000: 15%, Gold ahead by 601 - 800: 15%, Gold ahead by 401 - 600: 14%, Gold ahead by 201 -400: 12%, Gold ahead by 1 - 200: 12%, Dow ahead by 1 - 200 : 5%, Dow ahead by 201 - 400: 4%, Dow ahead by 401 or more: 1%

Action history:

Created Sat 7th Feb 3:50pm PST by

gonegonegone Level 15, Seer (H$320,788)

Suspended Thu 12th Feb 9am PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 14th Feb 4:57pm PST by

gonegonegone Level 15, Seer (H$320,788)

: www.marketwatch.com
Settles as gold ahead by more than 1200

Settlement requested Sat 14th Feb 11:20pm PST by

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,696,592)

: gold closed at 9422-dow closed at 7850=1572 by my math.

Settled as 'Gold ahead by more than1200' Sun 15th Feb 7:07am PST by

bayoubear [Admin]

: www.marketwatch.com
Settles as gold ahead by more than 1200
gold was 942.20 and the Dow closed at 7850
9422 minus 7850 equals 1572

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Predictions (142)

40 weeks ago

lcsnor Level 15, Seer (H$281,661)

predicted Gold ahead by more than1200 (H$100 at 78%)

40 weeks ago

maartenkaas Level 10, Genius (H$11,194)

predicted Gold ahead by 1001 - 1200 (H$20 at 9%)

40 weeks ago

maartenkaas Level 10, Genius (H$11,194)

predicted Gold ahead by 801 - 1000 (H$20 at 6%)

40 weeks ago

aed71

predicted Gold ahead by more than1200 (H$10 at 78%)

40 weeks ago

flyingcatslb Level 5, Predictor (H$1,802)

predicted Gold ahead by more than1200 (H$100 at 78%)

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