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Will Maerklin products vanish from the toystores for good?

Background: Märklin, Germany's legendary producer of model railways, has gone bankrupt (again). It has already been acquired by the investors of Kingsbridge Capital in 2006. However, the regional banks have apparently signalled a red light.
Will we still be able to buy Märklin trains by Christmas 2009?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Terminal. No Maerklin products any more.
24%
The Name has been sold to another company.
24%
Maerklin still produces with HQ in Goeppingen,FRG.
44%
Other outcome.
8%
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 23rd Dec 1:59am PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Terminal. No Maerklin products any more.: 30%, The Name has been sold to another company.: 30%, Maerklin still produces with HQ in Goeppingen,FRG.: 30%, Other outcome.: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 10th Feb 5:08am PST by hoernla

Suspend date: Wed 23rd Dec 1:59am PST (4 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (13)

5 weeks ago
mikeo7b3 predicted Terminal. No Maerklin products any more. (H$100 at 23%)
15 weeks ago
rant_zone predicted Maerklin still produces with HQ in Goeppingen,FRG. (H$10 at 45%)
33 weeks ago
jpkoester1 predicted Maerklin still produces with HQ in Goeppingen,FRG. (H$500 at 41%)
39 weeks ago
jpkoester1 predicted Maerklin still produces with HQ in Goeppingen,FRG. (H$500 at 35%)
40 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted The Name has been sold to another company. (H$50 at 25%)

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