Created Wed 11th Feb 2:06pm PST by 
oppugner
oppugner 
Will any satellite/space vehicle be damaged by debris from the Iridium/Cosmos satellite collision?
Background: Background: In what is a reasonably uncommon event, a communications satellite operated by Iridium Satellite LLC and what is presumed to be a defunct Russian Cosmos satellite collided in the skies over Siberia at an altituude of 790 km (491 miles). The collision has created a cloud of debris which is slowly spreading out to both higher and lower orbits.
Over time, most of the debris is expected to return to Earth and burn up in the atmosphere but until then the debris does pose a collision risk, however small, to other satellites in orbit.
Will any satellite or other space vehicle be damaged or destroyed by debris from the collision?
Further details: http://www.spaceflightnow.com/news/n0902/11iridium/
Category Editor Clarification
Should a reputable news source report that damage was very likely to have been caused by satellite debris from this collision, but due to the small size or other difficulties in tracking the debris it cannot be completely confirmed, this will likely be sufficient for 'yes' settlement.
Over time, most of the debris is expected to return to Earth and burn up in the atmosphere but until then the debris does pose a collision risk, however small, to other satellites in orbit.
Will any satellite or other space vehicle be damaged or destroyed by debris from the collision?
Further details: http://www.spaceflightnow.com/news/n0902/11iridium/
Category Editor Clarification
Should a reputable news source report that damage was very likely to have been caused by satellite debris from this collision, but due to the small size or other difficulties in tracking the debris it cannot be completely confirmed, this will likely be sufficient for 'yes' settlement.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
If it turns out that the identity of one or noth satellites is wrong, it makes no difference to the question as it is the debris from the collision that it of interest here, not the identity of the vehicles that make up the debris.
Forecast history %
| No reports by suspend date |
| ||||
| ISS damaged/destroyed |
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| Shuttle or other manned vehicle damaged/destroyed |
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| Unmanned vehicle other than an orbiting satellite |
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| Orbiting satellite damaged/destroyed |
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| Any combination of the above |
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Question suspends in 14 weeks
- Activity: H$5,677 |
- Predictions: 31 |
Comments: 5
Suspend date: Sun 28th Feb 2010 11:59pm PST (14 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: No reports by suspend date: 70%, ISS damaged/destroyed: 3%, Shuttle or other manned vehicle damaged/destroyed: 3%, Unmanned vehicle other than an orbiting satellite: 3%, Orbiting satellite damaged/destroyed: 20%, Any combination of the above: 1%
Action history:
Created Wed 11th Feb 2:06pm PST by oppugner
oppugner
Changed Description Wed 11th Feb 7:55pm PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
tisha: show details ... . <.<br/> <br/> Over time, most ... , to other satellites in orbit. <.<br/> <br/> Will any satellite ... by debris from the collision? <?<br/> <br/> Further details: <a ... .com/news/n0902/11iridium/</a><br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Clarification</b><br/> Should a reputable news source report that damage was very likely to have been caused by satellite debris from this collision, but due to the small size or other difficulties in tracking the debris it cannot be completely confirmed, this will likely be sufficient for 'yes' settlement.
Suspend date: Sun 28th Feb 2010 11:59pm PST (14 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (31)
ozarkguy
predicted No reports by suspend date (H$50 at 77%)
predicted No reports by suspend date (H$333 at 76%)
tuff_sledding![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No reports by suspend date (H$600 at 74%)
predicted Orbiting satellite damaged/destroyed (H$50 at 19%)Comments (5)
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Related News 
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
ABC News 27 weeks ago
late Wednesday: Houston told them there was a slight risk of a 'conjunction' -- their euphemism for a collision with a piece of space junk. It was only a 'yellow' warning -- the debris did not come close enough to the shuttle to warrant changing the
score: 10
TMC Net 27 weeks ago
Station orbits at 352 kilometers. Johnson Space Center spokesperson Bill Jeffs says small orbiting pieces of material from satellite collisions and rocket launches are making it more difficult to operate in high orbit. 'There is more debris in the space
score: 10
Mail Online UK 27 weeks ago
Astronauts on the Atlantis space shuttle have grabbed the Hubble Space Telescope in orbit to carry out repairs. The astronauts now face the difficult and dangerous task of carrying out spacewalks to work on
score: 10
San Francisco Chronicle 27 weeks ago
astronauts have ever encountered. And the crew must be there for more than a week to repair the Hubble Space Telescope. As soon as the job is complete, the shuttle will scamper to safety. The telescope orbits about 350 miles above Earth, a far dirtier
score: 10
Washington Post 27 weeks ago
WASHINGTON -- Space shuttle Atlantis is now in a rough orbital neighborhood _ a place littered with thousands of pieces of space junk zipping around the Earth at nearly 20,000 mph. There
Related Tags
http://news.sympatico.msn.cbc.ca/abc/Local/AB/ContentPosting?isfa=1&newsitemid=ab-cgy-space-debris&feedname=CBC_LOCALNEWS
"If the massive chunk of space debris was indeed going to land on Wheatland County, the area’s longtime reeve wasn’t notified.
“I just heard about it an hour ago and that’s the first I’ve heard of it all day,” Ben Armstrong said Friday evening.
He joked that the county’s emergency preparedness plan likely doesn’t include provisions for dodging Russian rocket debris from space.
“If something that big is coming at you from outer space I guess you just stay the hell out of the way or put your head between your knees and kiss yourself goodbye.”
http://www.edmontonjournal.com/Technology/Alberta+high+alert+briefly+falling+space+junk/1288516/story.html
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