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NBA 2010 - Where will Dwyane Wade be playing on Opening Day?

Background: The free agent bonanza of the summer of 2010 will be nothing short of epic, and forever alter the future of multiple teams and the NBA itself. Multiple future Hall of Famers will be available as unrestricted free agents in the prime of their career, a situation that is unprecedented.

There are more than just the major guys I am listing here, too. So the consolation prizes are guys with multiple all-stars and some more HOF'ers. The following also have their contracts expire or can opt out: Nowitzki, Shaq, Joe Johnson, Ray Allen, McGrady, Ginobili, Nash, Boozer, Chris Paul, and the 2006 draft class (Roy, Gay, Aldridge, Bargnani, Rondo).

July 1, 2010 is the opt-out date for the big names. Cut-off date for predictions is a few days before the 2010 season, but it will be settled well before then.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
NY Knicks
14%
Miami Heat
47%
Detroit Pistons
6%
New Jersey Nets
4%
Sacramento Kings
1%
Dallas Mavericks
3%
Some other NBA team
23%
Greek or Russian pro team
0%
Some other non-NBA team
0%
He is not playing basketball for some reason
0%
Question suspends in 48 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 27th Oct 2010 11:59pm PST (48 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: NY Knicks: 25%, Miami Heat: 29%, Detroit Pistons: 15%, New Jersey Nets: 10%, Sacramento Kings: 3%, Dallas Mavericks: 5%, Some other NBA team: 10%, Greek or Russian pro team: 1%, Some other non-NBA team: 1%, He is not playing basketball for some reason: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 12th Feb 5:41am PST by eliminati

Suspend date: Wed 27th Oct 2010 11:59pm PST (48 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (15)

2 weeks ago
eliminati predicted Some other NBA team (H$500 at 19%)
17 weeks ago
eliminati predicted Some other NBA team (H$200 at 14%)
17 weeks ago
eliminati predicted NY Knicks (H$200 at 14%)
31 weeks ago
leeangelo predicted Miami Heat (H$20 at 59%)
34 weeks ago
tkui predicted Miami Heat (H$20 at 59%)

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