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Will Joaquin Phoenix Sell 100,000 Copies of his Album in 2009?

Background: Joaquin Phoenix has decided to throw his hat into the rap world and has been performing at venues across the US. Will he release a CD that sells 100,000 or more units in 2009?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
7%
No
93%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Thu 12th Feb 1:36pm PST by smv5047

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (13)

3 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted No (H$10,000 at 92%)
25 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted No (H$1,000 at 89%)
28 weeks ago
jaques_as_in_hattie predicted Yes (H$20 at 11%)
30 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted No (H$10,000 at 85%)
32 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted No (H$500 at 81%)

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