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Zimbabwe: Tsvangirai - Mugabe: Who will resign or leave office first in 2009 ?

Background: http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSLB173839

Leaving office includes eg. being removed or killed.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Mugabe
2%
Tsvangirai
2%
Neither happens
96%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Mugabe: 35%, Tsvangirai: 35%, Neither happens: 30%

Action history:

Created Fri 13th Feb 2:53am PST by youbet
Suspended Fri 16th Oct 3:45am PST by kruijs[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Fri 16th Oct 3:45am PST by kruijs[Power User]: please settle "Tsvangirai":

Zimbabwe PM disengages from unity government

Zimbabwe's prime minister says he is disengaging from the unity government because of the "persecution" of a top aide.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5jd_JZmhdw6XWClfpenWt9g-dqNNAD9BC4RN00 (market suspended)
Unsuspended Fri 16th Oct 3:45pm PST by sqlman[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (79)

5 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Neither happens (H$1,000 at 68%)
5 weeks ago
sqlman[Admin] predicted Tsvangirai (H$1,000 at 8%)
5 weeks ago
sqlman[Admin] predicted Mugabe (H$1,000 at 7%)
22 weeks ago
fellcolor predicted Tsvangirai (H$300 at 9%)
26 weeks ago
tim14 predicted Tsvangirai (H$20 at 19%)

Comments (1)

  1 randburg
What's going on at this time is NOT a resignation...Just "another" power struggle between the two.
posted 4 weeks ago

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