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Will the LHC really start back up in September?

Settled as No

LHC has not yet been restarted

Background:

Background: Background: The LHC has broken down for now, scientists claim it will be up and running again in September.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
1%
No
99%
Settled as No on Thu 1st Oct 1:24pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Thu 1st Oct 1:24pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 30th Sep 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Fri 13th Feb 7:25am PST by rrk5014
Settlement requested Thu 1st Oct 3:15am PST by shackleford: It is now October, and there are no reports that the LHC has started back up last month.
Suspended Thu 1st Oct 1:21pm PST by tisha[Admin]
Settled as 'No' Thu 1st Oct 1:24pm PST by tisha[Admin]: LHC has not yet been restarted

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Thu 1st Oct 1:24pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 30th Sep 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (134)

8 weeks ago
red_pill predicted Yes (H$30 at 1%)
9 weeks ago
chett predicted No (H$100 at 99%)
10 weeks ago
raptor1217 predicted No (H$50 at 99%)
11 weeks ago
wooly_sammoth predicted Yes (H$20 at 2%)
11 weeks ago
talta predicted No (H$50 at 98%)

Comments (5)

  1 tisha[Admin]
The targeted start up date is already set for the end of September ... given the history of this potentially amazing but so far shambolic collider, my prediction's on 'no'.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/science/news/article.cfm?c_id=82&objectid=10556150&ref=rss

Ps - while most of the other LHC questions, referring to damage and results, will not be settled until there are high energy collisions, this and the other LHC start up market, http://www.hubdub.com/m22850/When_will_the_Large_Hadron_Collider_be_switched_on_again, will settle when the machine is reported as being 'switched on' agian.
posted 39 weeks ago
  2 kruijs[Power User]
Geneva, 19 June 2009. At the 151st session of the CERN1 Council today, CERN Director General Rolf Heuer confirmed that the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) remains on schedule for a restart this autumn, albeit about 2-3 weeks later than originally foreseen.

http://press.web.cern.ch/press/PressReleases/Releases2009/PR09.09E.html.
posted 22 weeks ago
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Large_hadron_collider

States at bottom of artical that November 2009 will be the next test
posted 17 weeks ago
Restart of big particle collider now November
CERN expects repairs, additional safety systems to cost about $37 million
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/32219479/ns/technology_and_science-science/
posted 16 weeks ago

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