Created Fri 13th Feb 8:20am PST by

smv5047 Level 14, Prophet (H$135,101)

When will the creator of the Conficker Worm be caught?

Background: Microsoft is currently offering a $250,000 bounty for the worm's creator. This worm posses a serious threat especially to corporate offices.

http://www.cnn.com/2009/TECH/ptech/02/13/virus.downadup/index.html

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Before March 31st

April 1st to June 30th

July 1st to September 30th

October 1st to December 31st

Not in 09

95%

Question suspends in 5 weeks

Activity: H$53,003
Predictions: 76
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Before March 31st: 40%, April 1st to June 30th: 25%, July 1st to September 30th: 15%, October 1st to December 31st: 10%, Not in 09: 10%

Action history:

Created Fri 13th Feb 8:20am PST by

smv5047 Level 14, Prophet (H$135,101)

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Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (76)

7 weeks ago

cedars Level 1, Newbie (H$725)

predicted Not in 09 (H$100 at 90%)

10 weeks ago

ghosttie Level 12, Guru (H$32,327)

predicted Not in 09 (H$1,000 at 83%)

12 weeks ago

travellingjake Level 9, Expert (H$9,924)

predicted Not in 09 (H$50 at 77%)

12 weeks ago

mbvg

predicted Not in 09 (H$20 at 77%)

18 weeks ago

thepredictor Level 4, Whiz-kid (H$1,369)

predicted Not in 09 (H$100 at 71%)

Comments (2)

tomrcraver Level 10, Genius (H$11,115)

I recognize the difficulty of catching the creator - but he/she/they have a lot of people gunning for them, and methods of back-tracking them are getting more sophisticated. Basically they have to catch someone giving the worm instructions or having any information sent back to him. Of course, there are very clever ways to do that - not least of which would be launching a new worm, that (after a few weeks delay so it spreads without becoming big enough to draw attention) starts sending new instructions to the bigger worm.

posted 30 weeks ago

paddy112

Sounds like you could be the creator?

posted 26 weeks ago

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Related News
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score: 10

» Conficker readies mischief

IAfrica.com 29 weeks ago

The Conficker worm's creators are evidently toying with ways to put the pervasive computer virus to work firing off spam or spreading rogue anti-virus applications called 'scareware'. An April update sent

score: 10

Worm dabbles with mischief

The Times South Africa 29 weeks ago

SAN FRANCISCO - The Conficker worms creators are evidently toying with ways to put the pervasive computer virus to work firing off spam or spreading rogue anti-virus applications called scareware. An April update sent to

score: 10

Conficker readies mischief

IAfrica.com 29 weeks ago

score: 10

Conficker worm dabbling with mischief

AFP via Yahoo! 29 weeks ago

SAN FRANCISCO (AFP) - The Conficker worm's creators are evidently toying with ways to put the pervasive computer virus to work firing off spam or spreading rogue anti-virus applications called 'scareware.' An April update sent

score: 10

Conficker Worm Update

AccountingWEB 31 weeks ago

By Ryan Williams, TechBetter.com - The Conficker worm has been spreading since November 20, 2008. The estimated number of infected computers range from two million to the tens of millions. No one has an exact number. Many