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Will it be declared legal to jailbreak your Apple iphone before the end of the year?

Background: "Jailbreaking" in referance to the iphone involves overcoming the iphone's software to allow third party applications to be run on it. Many of these applications are available and many people are interested in and have jailbroken their iphones. This type of ability also appeals to owners of other types of phones as well.

The Electronic Frontier Foundation, in a filing with the Copyright Office, argues that the government should allow iPhone owners to circumvent technical barriers meant to keep them from changing the phone’s software, a process called jailbreaking. The Digital Millennium Copyright Act bans people from defeating technical protections for copyrighted materials (such as the encryption on DVDs). The act requires the government to consider exemptions to this ban every three years.

Apple, not surprisingly, filed an objection, saying that jailbreaking a phone indeed violates copyright law and that no exception should be granted.

The issue will be decided by the Library of Congress by this fall after several hearings in the spring. This is the exasperating part. It’s hardly clear that the Library of Congress, which does look after copyright law, is the right place for this debate. After all, the copyrighted software is really a small part of a cellphone and not really part of the fundamental issue.
http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/02/13/could-you-go-to-jail-for-jailbreaking-your-iphone/?hp

Another Article: http://consumerist.com/5153597/apple-wants-to-make-jailbreaking-worthy-of-jail-time-2500-fine?skyline=true&s=x

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Will settle as 'Yes' if Library of congress decides that 'jailbreaking' is not a violation of copyright law.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
15%
No
85%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sun 15th Feb 11:30pm PST by mork[Power User]

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (251)

1 week ago
epedreno predicted No (H$100 at 85%)
3 weeks ago
burnsy2023 predicted No (H$50 at 85%)
3 weeks ago
burnsy2023 predicted No (H$50 at 85%)
3 weeks ago
burnsy2023 predicted No (H$50 at 85%)
3 weeks ago
maartenkaas predicted No (H$20 at 85%)

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