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Will Israel confirm that it's engaged in anti-nuclear-weapon covert operations inside Iran?

Settled as No

There have been no reports of this happening.

Background:

Background: Israel is involved in a covert war of sabotage inside Iran to try to delay Tehran's alleged attempts to develop a nuclear weapon, a British newspaper said on Tuesday, quoting a former CIA agent and intelligence experts.

An intelligence source in the Middle East told Reuters last year Israel planned to target Iranian nuclear scientists with letter bombs and poisoned packages and had set off explosions in Iran. Analysts offered similar accounts and said such tactics would be credible, but no confirmation has been available.

Some analysts caution that reports of such a "dirty war" may form part of a psychological warfare campaign to unsettle Iran.

The intelligence source told Reuters that Israeli agents were working with Western governments and firms doing business with Tehran, whose Islamist leadership is a sworn enemy of Israel but denies accusations its nuclear program has a military purpose.

The government of Israel--widely assumed to be the only nuclear power in the Middle East--has so far declined all comment on such reports. This question asks whether any official Israeli government spokesperson will confirm the anti-nuclear-weapon ops inside Iran within the next full year.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090218/ts_nm/us_israel_iran_sabotage

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.on or before the suspend date.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
1%
No
99%
Settled as No on Mon 1st Mar 3:12am PST

Suspend date: Thu 18th Feb 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 1st Mar 3:12am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 18th Feb 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 17th Feb 2009 5:34pm PST by curios
Changed Question text Tue 17th Feb 2009 6:44pm PST by sqlman[Admin]: ... anti-nuclear-weapon covert operations ininside Iran?
Changed Settlement info Wed 18th Feb 2009 1:34am PST by sqlman[Admin]: ... a major mainstream news source.on or before the suspend date.
Suspended Thu 18th Feb 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 21st Feb 4:49pm PST by Erik: No report - please settle as no
Settlement requested Wed 24th Feb 9:50am PST by pics4d: israel has not confirmed any covert operations...please settle as no
Settlement requested Fri 26th Feb 7:52am PST by Erik: Settle please!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Settlement requested Sat 27th Feb 6:56am PST by Erik: Settle please!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Settled as 'No' Mon 1st Mar 3:12am PST by sqlman[Admin]: There have been no reports of this happening.

Suspend date: Thu 18th Feb 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 1st Mar 3:12am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 18th Feb 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (68)

3 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted No (H$10,000 at 98%)
4 weeks ago
nyharel predicted No (H$10,000 at 98%)
4 weeks ago
pics4d predicted Yes (H$250 at 2%)
4 weeks ago
nyharel predicted No (H$10,000 at 98%)
8 weeks ago
nyharel predicted No (H$10,000 at 97%)

Comments (11)

curios, how do you mean "confirmed?" Several news articles have come out stating that Israel has been engaged in covert ops in Iran. Do three articles count as "confirmation?" Or instead, do we need a statement by a government official? If so, can it be any government official, or a particular one? Please flesh the question out a bit more.
posted 1 year ago
  2 lola
Potential Question Rephrasing: "Will the Israeli government confirm the existence of covert operations within Iran to disrupt the development of nuclear weapons in 2009?"
posted 1 year ago
  3 curios
THE answer to cape comfirmed means agree upon like returning a invite as one example,
at lola it does not need rephrasing, your sugestion is to long and would not get into the space provided
posted 1 year ago
  4 lola
You picked the perfect graphic to associate with this question Curios!
posted 1 year ago
why would they confirm they did something covertly? isn't the whole point to keep it a secret?
posted 1 year ago
  6 sqlman[Admin]
@ ironman: an Israeli spy could be caught; very strong evidence of nuclear weaponry could be found that Israel would probably want to take credit for; Iran could actually detonate a nuclear weapon, leaving Israel to apologize for not doing enough to stop it; a peace deal could be brokered, a condition of which would be to confirm such covert ops. And so on...
posted 1 year ago
  7 curios
ADDING to Sqlams comment iron man something to read,

http://www.derechos.org/nizkor/filipinas/doc/cia.html
also i believe there was a covert war in Vietnam if my memory serves me right.
posted 1 year ago
  9 Erik
Who is the category editor here?
posted 3 weeks ago
  10 Erik
Settle please !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
posted 2 weeks ago
  11 coolkraft
they have been in and out of Dubai in record time....Iran should be real nervous
posted 2 weeks ago

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