Will an earthquake in the Puerto Rico Trench trigger a tsunami that affects the US in 2009?
Background: An ongoing swarm of earthquakes has been occurring over many weeks with no end in sight. The quakes are appearing just off the northeast coast of Puerto Rico in a subduction zone known as the Puerto Rico Trench. The Trench--home to the Milwaukee Deep, the deepest spot in the entire Atlantic Ocean at 8,605m/28,232ft--is very similar to the Cascadia and the Sumatra subduction zones. (The Sumatra zone, you'll recall, is the birthplace of the massive 2004 day-after-Christmas earthquake that resulted in the historic and tragic tsunami.)
According to the USGS, there were more than 60 earthquakes in the trench measuring 2.5 or greater this past Sunday, February 15th, and there've been more than 100 total since February 12th.
Clearly there's something afoot.
Scientists are busily collecting data that could better help predict an event which could have devastating consequences as the result of a tsunami hitting the Caribbean region and/or the east coast of the United States.
This market asks whether a tsunami emanating from an earthquake and/or landslide in the Puerto Rico Trench will affect the mainland coast of the US in 2009. To qualify, a tsunami at least one foot high must be recorded at one or more points along the mainland coast.
According to the USGS, there were more than 60 earthquakes in the trench measuring 2.5 or greater this past Sunday, February 15th, and there've been more than 100 total since February 12th.
Clearly there's something afoot.
Scientists are busily collecting data that could better help predict an event which could have devastating consequences as the result of a tsunami hitting the Caribbean region and/or the east coast of the United States.
This market asks whether a tsunami emanating from an earthquake and/or landslide in the Puerto Rico Trench will affect the mainland coast of the US in 2009. To qualify, a tsunami at least one foot high must be recorded at one or more points along the mainland coast.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. To settle as 'yes', a tsunami of at least one foot in height must be recorded at one or more points along the mainland coast of the US.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
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| No |
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Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$8,141 |
- Predictions: 34 |
Comments: 5
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 8:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%
Action history:
Changed Description Wed 18th Feb 4:26am PST by 
sqlman![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
sqlman: show details ... and tragic tsunami.) <br/> <br/> According to/> <a the USGS (href="http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Maps/10/295_20_eqs.php), >According to the USGS</a>, there were more than 60
Changed Description Wed 18th Feb 4:27am PST by sqlman: show details
sqlman: show details ... /recenteqsww/Maps/10/295_20_eqs.php>">According to the USGS</a>,
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 8:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (34)
mikeo7b3
predicted No (H$90 at 86%)
mdad8200
predicted No (H$100 at 85%)
ozarkguy
predicted No (H$50 at 85%)
predicted No (H$999 at 85%)Comments (5)
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Note the passage that reads "The centre's oceanographer, Dailin Wang, says the tsunami turned out to be very small...'Three or four centimetres. That's very small yes.'"
IOW, they are detectable, and they do detect them...
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