
Will an earthquake in the Puerto Rico Trench trigger a tsunami that affects the US in 2009?
Didn't happen...
Background:>
According to the USGS, there were more than 60 earthquakes in the trench measuring 2.5 or greater this past Sunday, February 15th, and there've been more than 100 total since February 12th.
Clearly there's something afoot.
Scientists are busily collecting data that could better help predict an event which could have devastating consequences as the result of a tsunami hitting the Caribbean region and/or the east coast of the United States.
This market asks whether a tsunami emanating from an earthquake and/or landslide in the Puerto Rico Trench will affect the mainland coast of the US in 2009. To qualify, a tsunami at least one foot high must be recorded at one or more points along the mainland coast.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. To settle as 'yes', a tsunami of at least one foot in height must be recorded at one or more points along the mainland coast of the US.
- Activity: H$96,710 |
- Predictions: 58 |
Comments: 5
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 2nd Jan 9:07am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%
Action history:
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 2nd Jan 9:07am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (58)
Comments (5)
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Note the passage that reads "The centre's oceanographer, Dailin Wang, says the tsunami turned out to be very small...'Three or four centimetres. That's very small yes.'"
IOW, they are detectable, and they do detect them...
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