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Created Thu 19th Feb 2009 12:16am PST by 
conspiracy2riot
conspiracy2riot What will be the fate of Ali al-Jarrah, the Lebanese man arrested for spying for Israel?
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Background:
Background: To Israel, he appears to have been a valued spy, sending reports and taking clandestine photographs of Palestinian groups and Hezbollah since 1983.
Now he sits in a Lebanese prison cell, accused by the authorities of betraying his country to an enemy state. Months after his arrest, his friends and former colleagues are still in shock over the extent of his deceptions: the carefully disguised trips abroad, the unexplained cash, the secret second wife.
Lebanese investigators say he has confessed to a career of espionage spectacular in its scope and longevity. Many intelligence agents are said to operate in the civil chaos of Lebanon, but Mr. Jarrahâs arrest has shed a rare light onto a world of spying and subversion that usually persists in secret.
He was finally arrested last July by Hezbollah, which now has perhaps the most powerful intelligence apparatus in this country. It handed him to the Lebanese military along with his brother Yusuf, who is accused of helping him spy — and he awaits trial by a military court.
It is not the family's first brush with notoriety. One of Mr. Jarrahâ's cousins, Ziad al-Jarrah, was among the 19 hijackers who carried out the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, though the men were 20 years apart in age and do not appear to have known each other well.
FULL ARTICLE HERE:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/19/world/middleeast/19lebanon.html?_r=1&hp
Now he sits in a Lebanese prison cell, accused by the authorities of betraying his country to an enemy state. Months after his arrest, his friends and former colleagues are still in shock over the extent of his deceptions: the carefully disguised trips abroad, the unexplained cash, the secret second wife.
Lebanese investigators say he has confessed to a career of espionage spectacular in its scope and longevity. Many intelligence agents are said to operate in the civil chaos of Lebanon, but Mr. Jarrahâs arrest has shed a rare light onto a world of spying and subversion that usually persists in secret.
He was finally arrested last July by Hezbollah, which now has perhaps the most powerful intelligence apparatus in this country. It handed him to the Lebanese military along with his brother Yusuf, who is accused of helping him spy — and he awaits trial by a military court.
It is not the family's first brush with notoriety. One of Mr. Jarrahâ's cousins, Ziad al-Jarrah, was among the 19 hijackers who carried out the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, though the men were 20 years apart in age and do not appear to have known each other well.
FULL ARTICLE HERE:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/19/world/middleeast/19lebanon.html?_r=1&hp
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| He is released |
| |||
| He is given a prison sentence |
| |||
| He is part of a prisoner swap with Israel |
| |||
| An outcome not listed |
| |||
| Nothing reported by settlement date |
|
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended
- Activity: H$14,272 |
- Predictions: 32 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Wed 16th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: He is released : 5%, He is given a prison sentence: 20%, He is part of a prisoner swap with Israel: 5%, An outcome not listed: 20%, Nothing reported by settlement date: 50%
Action history:
Created Thu 19th Feb 2009 12:16am PST by conspiracy2riot
conspiracy2riot
Suspended Wed 16th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Wed 16th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (32)
gtown![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Nothing reported by settlement date (H$300 at 91%)
mayank
predicted Nothing reported by settlement date (H$247 at 91%)
keyeshoveden
frogchop
predicted Nothing reported by settlement date (H$1,500 at 57%)
htlsales
predicted Nothing reported by settlement date (H$200 at 50%)Comments (1)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
News24.com 44 weeks ago
Beirut - Lebanese judicial officials say that a military prosecutor has charged six people with collaborating with archenemy Israel. Under Lebanese legal jargon, collaboration often means spying - a crime punishable by death in Lebanon. The officials,
score: 10
Time 44 weeks ago
shows a can of motor oil used to camouflage electronic devices found with arrested Lebanese nationals accused of spying for Israel. JOSEPH BARRAK/AFP/Getty The captured espionage equipment on display at Lebanese police headquarters on Monday was hardly
score: 10
Time 44 weeks ago
shows a can of motor oil used to camouflage electronic devices found with arrested Lebanese nationals accused of spying for Israel. JOSEPH BARRAK/AFP/Getty The captured espionage equipment on display at Lebanese police headquarters on Monday was hardly
score: 10
ABC News 44 weeks ago
Lebanese police displayed sophisticated devices Monday that they said Israel used to spy on Hezbollah, including a water cooler fitted with sensors to survey the landscape. Other devices shown to reporters and photographers included a car battery charger
score: 10
Haaretz 45 weeks ago
Lebanon arrested five people over the weekend suspected of belonging to an intelligence cell transmitting information about Hezbollah to Israel, the most recent arrests in a two-month crackdown apparently aided by
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