Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
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Gold 2009- 800 or 1200 First?

Background: Breaking 1000 didn't take very long. What's in store next? A pullback below 800 or a move above 1200?
(EN- Setting 1200 odds higher since gold is in a strong uptrend.)

Settlement details:Based upon hitting the number intraday on <a href="http://www.kitco.com/market/">http://www.kitco.com/market/<;/a>

 
Forecast history %
Gold hits 1200 first
74%
Gold hits 800 first
0%
Gold does neither
26%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 1am PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Gold hits 1200 first: 48%, Gold hits 800 first: 37%, Gold does neither: 15%

Action history:

Created Sat 21st Feb 6:06am PST by drzinternet

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 1am PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (1306)

4 hours ago
tweedster predicted Gold hits 1200 first (H$300 at 74%)
22 hours ago
horsefeathers predicted Gold hits 1200 first (H$500 at 71%)
1 day ago
anderzen predicted Gold hits 1200 first (H$100 at 70%)
1 day ago
anderzen predicted Gold hits 1200 first (H$100 at 69%)
1 day ago
anderzen predicted Gold hits 1200 first (H$400 at 70%)

Comments (17)

  1 frogchop
A shorter settlement date would make this a little more exciting.
posted 38 weeks ago
Thanks for the suggestion, but I like the longer settlement date. The last one gold question I did, which was just like this, settled Friday, after about 2 months, and there was over 220,000 played.
posted 38 weeks ago
  3 dowdy
Isn't the IMF planning on selling their gold?

If that happens it'll go down around SEP - NOV
posted 26 weeks ago
Gold can be available through vending machines in Germany now
http://english.pravda.ru/business/finance/03-06-2009/107696-gold-0

A vending machine selling tiny gold bars was launched at the main railway station in Germany’s Frankfurt-am-Main. The ATM machine, the size of a phone-booth and shaped as a gold bar, was installed in the financial metropolis of the European Union, Itar-Tass news agency reports.

The new service appeared because of the aspiration of the Germans to rescue their savings during the crisis converting the funds on their bank accounts to gold bars.

About 59 tons of gold bars and coins were sold to natural persons during the first quarter of the current year in Germany. The gold sales exceeded the same-period level of the previous year four times.

[More at the link...]
posted 23 weeks ago
  9 coolkraft
1020.20
posted 9 weeks ago
  10 coolkraft
1090.90 today maybe gold is worth betting on 1200
posted 2 weeks ago
  12 coolkraft
1112.90 per Bloomberg
posted 1 week ago
  13 coolkraft
1118 per UK CO
posted 1 week ago
Wow, glad to get out of those 1200's above 30%. Been holding em for a long time.
posted 1 week ago
  15 coolkraft
1120
posted 1 week ago
  16 coolkraft
1133.20
posted 5 days ago
  17 coolkraft
1147.72
posted 3 days ago

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