Created Wed 25th Feb 9:24pm PST by 
zhitel
zhitel 
Will either Israel or the USA attack Iran by the end of 2009?
Background:
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Category Editor Clarification: according to the creator, any attack will count as a 'Yes', whether that's a ground assault, an air strike, a missile hit (guided or ballistic), or a confirmed covert op.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| ||||
| No |
|
Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$158,904 |
- Predictions: 160 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%
Action history:
Created Wed 25th Feb 9:24pm PST by zhitel
zhitel
Changed Settlement info Thu 26th Feb 1:38pm PST by 
sqlman![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
sqlman: show details ... a major mainstream news source. <br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Clarification:</b> according to the creator, <i>any</i> attack will count as a 'Yes', whether that's a ground assault, an air strike, a missile hit (guided or ballistic), or a confirmed covert op.
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (160)
predicted No (H$500 at 88%)
owlcreekobserver
predicted Yes (H$100 at 12%)
predicted No (H$100 at 89%)
cookietime
predicted No (H$500 at 89%)
badgersfan
predicted Yes (H$100 at 11%)Comments (3)
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Related News 
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
The Times 27 weeks ago
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NewsMax.com 27 weeks ago
The threat to Israel from a nuclear-armed Iran is 'existential and immediate,' declares noted legal scholar Alan Dershowitz. Dershowitz, author of 'The Case Against Israel's Enemies,' cited a recent statement from White House
score: 10
NewsMax.com 27 weeks ago
The threat to Israel from a nuclear-armed Iran is 'existential and immediate,' declares noted legal scholar Alan Dershowitz. Dershowitz, author of 'The Case Against Israel's Enemies,' cited a recent statement from White House
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By Hilary Leila Krieger | The Jerusalem Post
March 5, 2009
WASHINGTON - Israel is seriously considering taking unilateral military action to stop Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, according to a report by top US political figures and experts released Wednesday. The report also says Israel's time frame for action is growing shorter, not only because of Iranian advances, but because Teheran might soon acquire upgraded air defenses and disperse its nuclear program to additional locations.
The report, "Preventing a Cascade of Instability," was put out by the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP). It also argues that international sanctions against Iran need to be intensified urgently for the engagement the Obama administration is planning with Tehran to be effective.
http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1236103158937&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/middle_east/article6860161.ece
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