American Idol: How many women in the top 12?

Suspend date: Thu 5th Mar 5:55pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 7th Mar 4:51am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 5th Mar 5:55pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 3 Women: 5%, 4 Women: 25%, 5 Women: 40%, 6 Women: 25%, 7 Women: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 28th Feb 8:29am PST by jenniandboys

Changed Description Sat 28th Feb 4:36pm PST by jenniandboys: show details

... <b>Background:</b> So far the men have ... you think will make it! <!<br/> <br/> Current Finalists: <:<br/> Kris Allen <<br/> Danny Gokey <<br/> Alexis Grace (F) <)<br/> Allison Iraheta (F) <)<br/> Adam Lambert <<br/> Michael Sarver <br/> <br/> Semi-Finals, Group 3: <:<br/> <a href="http://www. ... .com/m33919/American_Idol_Semifinals_Which_males_will_progress_to_the_top_12_this_round">Men</a> <><br/> <a href="http://www. ... .com/m33921/American_Idol_Semifinals_Which_females_will_progress_to_the_top_12_this_round">Women</a><br/> <p style="text-align: center;"><b><a href="http://www.hubdub.com/tag/american_idol">All the American Idol Markets</a><b></p>

Changed Description Sat 28th Feb 4:36pm PST by jenniandboys: show details

... /american_idol">All the American Idol Hubdub Markets</a><b></p>

Changed Description Sat 28th Feb 4:36pm PST by jenniandboys: show details

... .com/m33919/American_Idol_Semifinals_Which_males_will_progress_to_the_top_12_this_round">Men</a><br/> <> <a href="http://www.hubdub.

Changed Description Sat 28th Feb 4:37pm PST by jenniandboys

Changed Description Sat 28th Feb 4:37pm PST by jenniandboys: show details

... .com/m33919/American_Idol_Semifinals_Which_males_will_progress_to_the_top_12_this_round">Men</a> <> and <a href="http://www.hubdub.

Changed Description Sun 1st Mar 4:46am PST by jenniandboys: show details

... <b>Background:</b> So far the men have ... American Idol Hubdub Markets</a><>>/b></p>

Changed Description Sun 1st Mar 4:49am PST by jenniandboys: show details

... American Idol Hubdub Markets</a>>/></b></p>

Suspended Thu 5th Mar 5:55pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Fri 6th Mar 4:09pm PST by horsefeathers: there are 5

http://www.americanidol.com/contestants/season_8/

Settled as '5 Women' Sat 7th Mar 4:51am PST by jenniandboys: Although there was an extra person added to our top 12, this market was clearly asking about how many women would make it to the final round, which was 5. In addition, the 13th person was male, making the settlement straightforward.

Final membership: 8 men, 5 women.
Next week.. who can say? http://www.hubdub.com/m34704/American_Idol_Top_13__Which_gender_will_be_eliminated_first_

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Suspend date: Thu 5th Mar 5:55pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 7th Mar 4:51am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 5th Mar 5:55pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details