Created Sat 28th Feb 7:48pm PST by

tarpash Level 15, Seer (H$483,164)

Who will win the next Republican Presidential straw poll?

Settled as Mike Huckabee

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/09/19/huckabee-beats-palin-for-_n_292412.html

Background:

Background: Background: http://blogs.abcnews.com/thenote/2009/02/romney-tops-pal.html

CPAC members voted on Feb. 28 in a straw poll for the Republican candidates they prefer in 2012. Mitt Romney won (20%), Bobby Jindal was 2nd (14%), Sarah Palin and Ron Paul tied for 3rd (13%), Newt Gingrich was 4th (10%), Mike Huckabee was 5th (7%), Mark Sanford was 6th (4%), Rudy Giuliani was 6th (3%), Tim Pawlenty was 7th (2%), and Charlie Crist finished last (1%). 9% were undecided.

Who will win the next Republican straw poll for the 2012 Presidential election? The straw poll can be conducted by any organization so long as it is reported in the media.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Mitt Romney

Bobby Jindal

Sarah Palin

Ron Paul

Newt Gingrich

Mike Huckabee

Mark Sanford

Rudy Giuliani/Tim Pawlenty/Charlie Crist

someone else/undecided wins

No other straw poll reported by 9/30/09

86%

Settled as Mike Huckabee on Sat 19th Sep 2:23pm PST

Activity: H$150,283
Predictions: 481
Comments: 4

Suspend date: Tue 1st Sep 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 19th Sep 2:23pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Sep 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Mitt Romney: 23%, Bobby Jindal: 14%, Sarah Palin: 10%, Ron Paul: 10%, Newt Gingrich: 7%, Mike Huckabee: 7%, Mark Sanford: 2%, Rudy Giuliani/Tim Pawlenty/Charlie Crist: 2%, someone else/undecided wins: 5%, No other straw poll reported by 9/30/09: 20%

Action history:

Created Sat 28th Feb 7:48pm PST by

tarpash Level 15, Seer (H$483,164)

Settlement requested Sat 4th Jul 3:23am PST by

tarpash Level 15, Seer (H$483,164)

: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/06/02/cnn-poll-no-frontrunner-in-gop-2012-presidential-race/

I saw this new poll on CNN when Palin had her wacky news conference. Huckabee polled the highest. I couldn't find an earlier poll, so it looks like this one should settle it.

Settlement requested Tue 21st Jul 10:24pm PST by

tarpash Level 15, Seer (H$483,164)

: Why is this market not settled yet? I put in the request several weeks ago. Like I said, I couldn't fnd an earlier poll than CNN's so it looks like it should do it.

Suspended Tue 1st Sep 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 19th Sep 2:02pm PST by

hfl13

: Mike Huckabee

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/09/19/huckabee-beats-palin-for-_n_292412.html

Settled as 'Mike Huckabee' Sat 19th Sep 2:23pm PST by

destry [Admin]

: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/09/19/huckabee-beats-palin-for-_n_292412.html

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Predictions (481)

12 weeks ago

pat_c

predicted Mitt Romney (H$20 at 6%)

12 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,684,985)

predicted No other straw poll reported by 9/30/09 (H$500 at 35%)

13 weeks ago

dnicolo1 Level 8, Super-Pro (H$5,050)

predicted Mitt Romney (H$50 at 3%)

13 weeks ago

samlepirat Level 10, Genius (H$14,862)

predicted Mitt Romney (H$36 at 2%)

13 weeks ago

samlepirat Level 10, Genius (H$14,862)

predicted Mike Huckabee (H$39 at 10%)

Comments (4)

ironman288 Level 12, Guru (H$37,560)

I like Ron Paul's idea about nixing the 16th amendment. Sadly, with Obama's trillion dollar a week spending habit we may have to keep taxes where they are AND restrict spending that much just to pay the interest after his 4 years are up.

posted 37 weeks ago

excontender Level 12, Guru (H$48,601)

I'm pretty sure Jesus backs Huckabee.

posted 13 weeks ago

thetexas Level 10, Genius (H$14,774)

Why is Ron Paul even on the list? No one takes that America Hater seriously. Anyone who says that Mall security guards do more to protect our country then our Marines is a disgrace.

posted 12 weeks ago

hfl13

Mike beats Sarah damn I bought many Sarah & Milt low

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/09/19/huckabee-beats-palin-for-_n_292412.html

posted 9 weeks ago

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