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When will Las Vegas hit its first 110 degree day in 2009?

Settled as July 1 through 31

On July 16th temps. went over 110 at 334 PM
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=vef

Background:

Background: Las Vegas normally has several days each summer from June through August with temperatures over 110 degrees Farenhieght. When will the temperature first hit 110 degrees this summmer?

The earliest recorded 110 degrees in June was on the 18th in 1985. Every day in June after the 18th has a temperature record of at least 110 degrees except the 27th. The record temperature for June is 112 degrees, earliest on June 20, 1961.

The month of July has a minimum of 110 degrees recorded on every day except the 26th and 27th. The record temperature for July is 117 degrees, recorded on July 11, 2003.

The month of August has a minimum of 110 degrees recorded on every day from the 1st through 12th, 14th through 17th and on the 31st. The record temperature for August 112 degrees, recorded on August 31, 1958.

When will the first 110 degree day occur, or will Global Cooling prevent it all together?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
on or before June 18
0%
June 19 through 24
0%
June 25 through 30
0%
July 1 through 31
100%
August 1 through 31
0%
after August 31 or not at all this year
0%
Settled as July 1 through 31 on Sun 19th Jul 3:37pm PST

Suspend date: Mon 31st Aug 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 19th Jul 3:37pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 16th Jul 1:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: on or before June 18: 20%, June 19 through 24: 25%, June 25 through 30: 25%, July 1 through 31: 20%, August 1 through 31: 5%, after August 31 or not at all this year: 5%

Action history:

Created Sun 1st Mar 8:44am PST by mickeydaniel
Suspended Mon 1st Jun 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Fri 5th Jun 10:07am PST by ryanj: was: "2009-06-01 23:59:00"
Unsuspended Fri 5th Jun 10:07am PST by ryanj
Settlement requested Thu 16th Jul 4:19pm PST by bobdevine: Las Vegas hit 110 today. Actually it topped out at 111.

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/KLAS.html
Settlement requested Fri 17th Jul 5:35pm PST by bobdevine: North Las Vegas hit 110+ too

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/KVGT.html
Settled as 'July 1 through 31' Sun 19th Jul 3:37pm PST by ryanj: On July 16th temps. went over 110 at 334 PM
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=vef

Suspend date: Mon 31st Aug 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 19th Jul 3:37pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 16th Jul 1:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (172)

16 weeks ago
bobdevine predicted July 1 through 31 (H$10,000 at 100%)
16 weeks ago
bobdevine predicted July 1 through 31 (H$9,999 at 99%)
16 weeks ago
syzslack predicted August 1 through 31 (H$20 at 2%)
16 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted August 1 through 31 (H$100 at 1%)
16 weeks ago
bobdevine predicted July 1 through 31 (H$10,000 at 100%)

Comments (6)

What is your source? It was 110 on May 29, 1910. http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/wxclimatology/daily/LAS:9?climoMonth=5 -- not to mention several days in June earlier than you cited.
posted 35 weeks ago
The forecast calls for 107 tomorrow, 106 Monday. Getting close.....
posted 19 weeks ago
  3 bobdevine
Hit 111 on July 16th and 17th.

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/KVGT.html
posted 16 weeks ago
113 per weather channel on Friday....
posted 16 weeks ago
  5 bobdevine
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/KLAS.html

Maximum and Minimum Temperatures

111.9 (44.4) 88.0 (31.1) In the 24 hours preceding Jul 18, 2009 - 03:56 AM EDT / 2009.07.18 0756 UTC
posted 16 weeks ago
@bobdevine If you know this question should be settled, you should not continue placing bets after the settlement time.
posted 16 weeks ago

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