Created Sun 1st Mar 5:26pm PST by

When will Space Shuttle Discovery launch?

Settled as Not launched by above dates/Other

It will now be no earlier than Sunday (3/15) until Discovery can be launched.
http://www.spaceflightnow.com/shuttle/sts119/status.html

Background:

Background: After 5 scratched launch dates due to valve and other mechanical failures, NASA engineers have - most recently - set a tentative suspend date for March 12. The pressure is on as if it's not ready to fly by March 13, it cannot leave until after April due to clashes with other launches.

http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/space/orl-loc-shuttle-26022609-feb26,0,1334891.story

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Should settle on actual launch or otherwise, not just announcement/speculation as launch dates have changed so often in the past.

Forecast history %

March 12

33%

March 13

20%

Not launched by above dates/Other

47%

Settled as Not launched by above dates/Other on Wed 11th Mar 8:04pm PST

Activity: H$38,154
Predictions: 60
Comments: 7

Suspend date: Tue 31st Mar 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 11th Mar 8:04pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 10th Mar 2:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: March 12: 30%, March 13: 25%, Not launched by above dates/Other: 45%

Action history:

Created Sun 1st Mar 5:26pm PST by

tisha

Changed Description Sun 1st Mar 5:33pm PST by

tisha

: show details

... with other launches. <br/> <br/> /> <a href='http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/ ... -26022609-feb26,0,1334891.story'>http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/space/orl-loc-shuttle-26022609-feb26,0,1334891.story</a>

Suspended Wed 11th Mar 2:16pm PST by

sqlman [Admin]

: NASA says it will be Sunday (3/15) at the earliest before the shuttle can be launched.

http://www.spaceflightnow.com/shuttle/sts119/status.html

Settled as 'Not launched by above dates/Other' Wed 11th Mar 8:04pm PST by

tisha

: It will now be no earlier than Sunday (3/15) until Discovery can be launched.
http://www.spaceflightnow.com/shuttle/sts119/status.html

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Predictions (60)

36 weeks ago

tisha

predicted Not launched by above dates/Other (H$100 at 54%)

36 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,690,944)

predicted Not launched by above dates/Other (H$1,000 at 48%)

36 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,690,944)

predicted Not launched by above dates/Other (H$1,000 at 36%)

36 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,690,944)

predicted Not launched by above dates/Other (H$500 at 27%)

36 weeks ago

chull

predicted March 13 (H$20 at 4%)

Comments (7)

tisha

Looks like Discovery may actually launch on March 11 now - this would be classified as 'other'
http://www.spaceflightnow.com/shuttle/sts119/090304date/

posted 37 weeks ago

sqlman [Admin]

Tonight's launch (3/11) has been scrubbed...

posted 36 weeks ago

tisha

Yes - discovery's woes continue!
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5h1W8dcUP9H70AmlSfDSenPteDT9gD96S1AQ82

posted 36 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,690,944)

So why the big sell off and bet on the 12th and 13th? When has Nasa ever fixed a problem in less than three days? Never.

posted 36 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,690,944)

If the Nasa site didn't release the Sunday date until 8:08pm EDT, why were bets placed three or more hours earlier voided?

posted 36 weeks ago

tisha

The newsflash was dated 6.08 EDT - although I did use the GMT time to settle the question in any case. Is this another question affected by the timezone bug?

posted 36 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,690,944)

Hmmm, not sure. In any case, I couldn't find anything decisive until right around the time you posted the suspension and there had been a lag of a couple hours in there. I know these last minute news breaks are a bit of a gamble as to where the cut off time is.

posted 36 weeks ago

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