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Will Michael Steele last until Nov. 2, 2010 as RNC Chairman?

Background: Since Steele was elected in January 2009 as the new RNC chairman, some Republicans have openly wondered whether he's the right leader to revitalize the party and carry them to midterm election wins in 2010.

In addition to that, Steele called conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh an "entertainer” whose show can be “incendiary", which ruffled many listeners' feathers. Steele has since apologized to Limbaugh. James Carville predicted on CNN on 2/2/09 that Steele was "done".

Will Steele last as RNC Chairman until the midterm elections on 11/2/10?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
73%
No
27%
Question suspends in 40 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 1st Sep 2010 11:59pm PST (40 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%

Action history:

Created Mon 2nd Mar 7:21pm PST by tarpash

Suspend date: Wed 1st Sep 2010 11:59pm PST (40 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (105)

1 week ago
wahsfrog predicted No (H$500 at 26%)
2 weeks ago
sonjajh predicted No (H$50 at 25%)
2 weeks ago
wahsfrog predicted No (H$555 at 23%)
11 weeks ago
sonjajh predicted No (H$50 at 69%)
11 weeks ago
wahsfrog predicted No (H$1,000 at 67%)

Comments (2)

  1 tarpash
Sorry I meant to write that "James Carville predicted on CNN on 3/2/09 that Steele was 'done'", instead of 2/2/09. Please note the date change.
posted 37 weeks ago

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