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Which candidate will win the Republican nomination in the 2012 election?

Background: The Republican field has never been more wide open. Will an unknown develop in the next few years or will one of the recycled candidates listed below be chosen.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Mitt Romney
6%
Mike Huckabee
10%
Bobby Jindal
2%
Ron Paul
1%
Sarah Palin
6%
Tim Pawlenty
40%
Newt Gingrich
0%
Mark Sanford
0%
Dick Cheney
0%
Other Candidate not listed
34%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Thu 1st Mar 2012 3:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Mitt Romney: 22%, Mike Huckabee: 24%, Bobby Jindal: 22%, Ron Paul: 8%, Sarah Palin: 7%, Tim Pawlenty: 3%, Newt Gingrich: 2%, Mark Sanford: 4%, Dick Cheney: 1%, Other Candidate not listed: 7%

Action history:

Suspend date: Thu 1st Mar 2012 3:59pm PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (177)

4 days ago
cheesenips predicted Mitt Romney (H$50 at 6%)
4 days ago
cheesenips predicted Sarah Palin (H$20 at 6%)
4 days ago
cheesenips predicted Ron Paul (H$20 at 1%)
4 days ago
frogchop predicted Ron Paul (H$20 at 1%)
4 days ago
frogchop predicted Ron Paul (H$20 at 0%)

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