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In 2009 will anymore sporting events be targeted by terrorists?

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. As in the Sri Lanka cricket team incident, if a sports event, team or playing field is targeted at any point in 2009 the market will settle as yes. To be clear a terrorist targeting does not have to inflict casualties, only occur.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
36%
No
64%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 4th Mar 9:23am PST by ryanj

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (34)

5 weeks ago
baghead predicted No (H$20 at 52%)
5 weeks ago
bobyn42 predicted No (H$50 at 52%)
7 weeks ago
cookietime predicted No (H$250 at 52%)
8 weeks ago
point0507 predicted No (H$200 at 51%)
9 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$2,000 at 48%)

Comments (1)

Does it count if the terrorist group is a Mossad assassination team, come to seek vengeance, so long as the target is at or playing in a game?
posted 37 weeks ago

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