Created Thu 5th Mar 4:25am PST by 
grzbrz
grzbrz Which EU country will default first on its debts in 2009?
Background: Rating agencies downgraded some EU countries already. The credit default swaps prizes of the most are rising significantly. Which is the first EU country to default on its sovereign bonds?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Ireland |
| ||||
| Greece |
| ||||
| Italy |
| ||||
| Spain |
| ||||
| Romania |
| ||||
| Hungary |
| ||||
| Austria |
| ||||
| Latvia |
| ||||
| Estonia |
| ||||
| None |
|
Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$23,164 |
- Predictions: 20 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Ireland: 10%, Greece: 5%, Italy: 5%, Spain: 5%, Romania: 5%, Hungary: 10%, Austria: 10%, Latvia: 5%, Estonia: 5%, None: 40%
Action history:
Created Thu 5th Mar 4:25am PST by grzbrz
grzbrz 
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (20)
frogchop
predicted None (H$10,000 at 90%)
tuff_sledding![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted None (H$600 at 76%)
aland
predicted None (H$50 at 57%)Comments (0)
Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service
Related News 
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
CNBC 27 weeks ago
Eurostat, on Friday released the following harmonised data on consumer prices in the 16-nation euro zone and 27-nation EU. The table includes the core rate of inflation referred to by the European Central Bank, which excludes volatile energy and
score: 10
Irish Times 27 weeks ago
cent of national income on overseas aid by 2010. Aidwatch 2009, a lobbying and campaigning initiative which monitors EU governments spending on aid says Ireland, along with Italy and Latvia, have slashed their aid budgets in recent months. Aidwatch also
score: 10
TMC Net 28 weeks ago
provider of daily default probabilities and default correlations for listed companies since November 2002. Kamakura announced the KRIS Sovereign Default Probability Service on May 19, 2008. Kamakura launched its collateralized debt obligation (CDO)
score: 10
Forbes.com 28 weeks ago
5 (-5.6) -13.8 EU-27 -2.3 (-1.6) -6.0 (-2.3) -7.3 Keywords: ECONOMY EU FORECASTS/BUDGETS COPYRIGHT Copyright Thomson Reuters 2009. All rights reserved. The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including by framing or similar
score: 10
Forbes.com 28 weeks ago
4 (55.1) 81.7 EU-27 61.5 (59.8) 72.6 (60.9) 79.4 Keywords: ECONOMY EU FORECASTS/DEBT COPYRIGHT Copyright Thomson Reuters 2009. All rights reserved. The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including by framing or similar
Related Tags
No comments yet
Please log in or join to add a comment