Created Fri 6th Mar 6:58am PST by

brian72975 Level 15, Seer (H$424,167)

What will the US unemployment rate be for March 2009?

Settled as 8.5 percent

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/04/business/economy/04jobs.html

Background:

Background: The Labor Department reported a drop in non-farm payroll of 651,000 for February 2009, raising the unemployment rate from 7.6 to 8.1 percent, the highest since 1983. Where will it land for March 2009?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Below 7.8 percent

7.8 or 7.9 percent

8 percent

8.1 percent

8.2 percent

8.3 percent

8.4 percent

25%

8.5 percent

30%

8.6 or 8.7 percent

23%

Above 8.7 percent

Settled as 8.5 percent on Sun 5th Apr 1:12am PST

Activity: H$44,374
Predictions: 195
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Tue 31st Mar 3pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 5th Apr 1:12am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 31st Mar 3pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Below 7.8 percent: 2%, 7.8 or 7.9 percent: 5%, 8 percent: 8%, 8.1 percent: 15%, 8.2 percent: 20%, 8.3 percent: 20%, 8.4 percent: 15%, 8.5 percent: 8%, 8.6 or 8.7 percent: 5%, Above 8.7 percent: 2%

Action history:

Created Fri 6th Mar 6:58am PST by

brian72975 Level 15, Seer (H$424,167)

Suspended Tue 31st Mar 3pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Fri 3rd Apr 6:14am PST by

horsefeathers Level 12, Guru (H$34,451)

: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/04/03/layoffs-rise-despite-hope_n_182713.html

Settlement requested Fri 3rd Apr 6:35am PST by

hfl13

: 8,5

http://www.hubdub.com/m37659/What_will_the_US_unemployment_rate_be_for_April_2009

Settlement requested Fri 3rd Apr 1:21pm PST by

horsefeathers Level 12, Guru (H$34,451)

: the figure has been released

Settlement requested Sat 4th Apr 5:03am PST by

horsefeathers Level 12, Guru (H$34,451)

: results are in

Settlement requested Sat 4th Apr 1:49pm PST by

brian72975 Level 15, Seer (H$424,167)

: as above

Settled as '8.5 percent' Sun 5th Apr 1:12am PST by

robuk

: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/04/business/economy/04jobs.html

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Predictions (195)

33 weeks ago

tophatchick Level 8, Super-Pro (H$7,075)

predicted 8 percent (H$10 at 2%)

33 weeks ago

tophatchick Level 8, Super-Pro (H$7,075)

predicted 8.1 percent (H$3 at 2%)

33 weeks ago

tophatchick Level 8, Super-Pro (H$7,075)

predicted 7.8 or 7.9 percent (H$7 at 1%)

33 weeks ago

demtb

predicted 8.5 percent (H$100 at 29%)

33 weeks ago

cajnj

predicted Above 8.7 percent (H$5 at 4%)

Comments (1)

ejayz

Remember alot of Equipment operators and construction related folks could be back to work in march as temps warm up and the building trades start going again.....

posted 36 weeks ago

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