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Which of these US newspapers will cease publication first?

Background: Time Magazine reprinted a list from 24/7 of <a href="http://www.time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,1883785,00.html?xid=rss-fullnation-yahoo?iid=perma_share">The 10 Major Newspapers That Will Either Fold or Go Digital Next</a>. Which one will they get right first?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Question will settle when one of the papers officially announces it will cease print publication. In the very unlikely event all papers are still publishing print editions Jan. 1, 2011, question will be voided.

 
Forecast history %
Philadelphia Daily News
14%
Minneapolis Star Tribune
12%
Miami Herald
9%
Detroit News
11%
Boston Globe
12%
San Francisco Chronicle
14%
Chicago Sun-Times
10%
New York Daily News
5%
Fort Worth Star-Telegram
5%
Cleveland Plain Dealer
7%
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 10:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Philadelphia Daily News: 15%, Minneapolis Star Tribune: 15%, Miami Herald: 10%, Detroit News: 10%, Boston Globe: 10%, San Francisco Chronicle: 15%, Chicago Sun-Times: 10%, New York Daily News: 5%, Fort Worth Star-Telegram: 5%, Cleveland Plain Dealer: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 9th Mar 12:46pm PST by brian72975

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 10:59pm PST (1 year to go) details

 

Predictions (19)

23 weeks ago
obammer predicted Philadelphia Daily News (H$20 at 14%)
25 weeks ago
zargonddg predicted Cleveland Plain Dealer (H$20 at 7%)
26 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Boston Globe (H$500 at 24%)
26 weeks ago
frogchop predicted Miami Herald (H$50 at 8%)
26 weeks ago
frogchop predicted Cleveland Plain Dealer (H$50 at 6%)

Comments (4)

  1 sqlman[Admin]
2009-03-16 1:25 EDT: The Seattle Post Intelligencer just announced tomorrow's their final print edition.
posted 33 weeks ago
  2 frogchop
That's not surprising. What kind of credibility can you give a newspaper that just makes up works like that? ;-)
posted 26 weeks ago
Harry Reid Threatens a Las Vegas Newspaper
http://commonsense2020.com/2009/08/30/harry-reid-threatened-las-vegas-newspaper/
On Wednesday (August 26th) before he addressed a Las Vegas Chamber of Commerce luncheon, Senator Harry Reid (D-NV) openly wished for the Las Vegas Review-Journal to “go out of business” … a newspaper which has held opposing political viewpoints with the Senator.

The comment came when Bob Brown, the Journal’s Director of Advertising met with Reid during the simple process of handshaking. Reid exclaimed to Brown: “I hope you go out of business.”

To their credit, the Journal did not take this bullying tactic lying down. Today, publisher Sherman Frederick posted an Op-Ed column in which he called Reid’s tactics childish, ugly, boorish, creepy, and asinine.
posted 9 weeks ago

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