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Will 'armageddon' leave the CEO of General Electric intact and in office (to year end)??

Background: I so want to make a pun on the name of the CEO, Immelt... but will leave it to you. Anyway, a Bloomberg article refers to a March 5 interview (at http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ajgcmH7NIFgs&refer=home ) and contains his assertions - backed up by former CEO Jack Welch - that he and GE can steer through the financial armageddon of recession...

Analysts, investors and others are unhappy that Immelt - who apparently claimed there was no need to reduce GE's dividend as recently as January 24th - has now cut the annual dividend by more than two-thirds, and presided over a major decline in share price.

Some would say the Greeks had a word for it - hubris, I mean - while British readers may be familiar with Private Eye's Curse of the Gnome, which has a similar spirit.

So - will Immelt say - or be forced to say - 'armageddon outa here?

Since we don't know how long the crisis will last, the question will settle as 'Yes' if he is still CEO of GE at the end of 2009, and 'No' if he resigns, leaves, is replaced as CEO before December 31st.

(Note: I suppose there could be uncertainty if he is reported as leaving, but hasn't quite left by year end. As the purpose of the question is to see if he can survive the crisis as the boss, it doesn't matter if he is technically still in office; if the company announces he is being replaced or is changing jobs by year end then it is 'No'.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
80%
No
20%
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 18th Dec 2:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Mon 9th Mar 1:04pm PST by bookie
Changed Suspend date Mon 9th Mar 2:12pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]: was: "2009-12-31 15:59:00"

Suspend date: Fri 18th Dec 2:59pm PST (3 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (18)

17 weeks ago
aland predicted Yes (H$200 at 70%)
25 weeks ago
obammer predicted No (H$20 at 30%)
31 weeks ago
bookie predicted No (H$250 at 30%)
33 weeks ago
bookie predicted No (H$30 at 30%)
34 weeks ago
bookie predicted No (H$20 at 30%)

Comments (3)

The Armageddon will be televised.
posted 36 weeks ago
  2 bookie
The Revolution Will Not Be Televised

(Gil Scott Heron, oddly enough heard on yesterday's Democracy Now news podcast...)
posted 36 weeks ago
I love 'Democracy Now' and Amy Goodman. Best news site ever.
posted 36 weeks ago

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