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Where will the DAX close on the last trading day of 2009?

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
DAX closes below 2000
0%
DAX closes between 2000 and 2499.99
0%
DAX closes between 2500 and 2999.99
0%
DAX closes between 3000 and 3499.99
1%
DAX closes between 3500 and 3999.99
1%
DAX closes between 4000 and 4499.99
1%
DAX closes between 4500 and 4999.99
2%
DAX closes between 5000 and 5499.99
21%
DAX closes above 5500
74%
Question suspends in 1 week

Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 2:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: DAX closes below 2000: 2%, DAX closes between 2000 and 2499.99: 5%, DAX closes between 2500 and 2999.99: 9%, DAX closes between 3000 and 3499.99: 17%, DAX closes between 3500 and 3999.99: 34%, DAX closes between 4000 and 4499.99: 17%, DAX closes between 4500 and 4999.99: 9%, DAX closes between 5000 and 5499.99: 5%, DAX closes above 5500: 2%

Action history:

Created Tue 10th Mar 12:45am PST by jpkoester1

Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 2:59pm PST (1 week to go) details

 

Predictions (72)

2 hours ago
hoernla predicted DAX closes between 5000 and 5499.99 (H$285 at 18%)
1 day ago
hoernla predicted DAX closes between 5000 and 5499.99 (H$415 at 16%)
2 days ago
hoernla predicted DAX closes above 5500 (H$367 at 81%)
3 days ago
hoernla predicted DAX closes above 5500 (H$400 at 79%)
4 days ago
hoernla predicted DAX closes between 5000 and 5499.99 (H$233 at 13%)

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