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How many Guantanamo prisoners freed during Bush's tenure will resurface on battlefields?

Background: In more evidence that Bush's administration was inept in handling terror suspects, the Pentagon said today that as many as 60 Guantanamo prisoners have resurfaced on foreign battlefields. How many more will do so in 2009 or will be revealed to have done so in 2008?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090310/ap_on_go_ca_st_pe/guantanamo_detainee_taliban

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
61-70
44%
71-80
33%
81-90
17%
91 or more
6%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 61-70: 40%, 71-80: 35%, 81-90: 20%, 91 or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 10th Mar 4:44pm PST by candelario

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (6)

4 days ago
imperiumvita predicted 91 or more (H$100 at 5%)
18 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted 61-70 (H$500 at 42%)
22 weeks ago
triciebird predicted 71-80 (H$100 at 36%)
36 weeks ago
gonegonegone predicted 61-70 (H$50 at 40%)

Comments (3)

  1 frogchop
This seems like a settlement nightmare. The existing number of "as many as 60" is fuzzy enough. How are you going to settle it if the MSM reports "somewhere between 50 and 100 former Guantanamo prisoners have resurfaced"? No precise number could ever come out.

It might be safer to just reframe it as: How many former Guantanamo detainees be killed or re-captured in 2009? At least that way you have a hard number to work with.
posted 35 weeks ago
I think the Pentagon will offer numbers that are clear enough in the near future.
posted 35 weeks ago
Swedish former Guantánamo prisoner arrested in Pakistan
http://www.stockholmnews.com/more.aspx?NID=3945

This story is about Mehdi Ghezali, the precious little snowflake who once was unreasonably sought by Swedish police for several crimes, had the misfortune of being arrested in Portugal, caught as a 30 year old by the evil coalition forces in Pakistan, close to the border near the Tora Bora Mountains, kept in horrible conditions in Guantanamo until the Swedish government secured his release and expunged his record, and now finds himself locked up in Pakistan trying to sneak into the Punjab province through a checkpoint, and now is "suspected for collaboration with the jihadist terror network al Qaida"...

Oh the humanity.

However he claims that the Swedish police were monitoring him when he was in the country, and that made him feel depressed. The "good news" is that he was reportedly planning a class-action lawsuit against the USA, but he "decided to drop the case".

What a magnanimous gesture on his part.

When he is not getting arrested and being pursued for imaginary infractions, this innocent victim demonstrates and calls for the closure of Guantanamo.
posted 10 weeks ago

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