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Will Brett Stewart plead, or be found, guilty of sexual assault?

Background: NRL players are (allegedly) at it again, with a 17 year old girl complaining to police that the Australian Rugby League star Brett Stewart sexually assaulted her after a presumbaly boozy post club event party. He denies the allegations.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
50%
No
50%
Question suspends in 18 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Mar 2010 11:59pm PST (18 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 11th Mar 3:42am PST by buckojo

Suspend date: Wed 31st Mar 2010 11:59pm PST (18 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (6)

4 weeks ago
gavq predicted Yes (H$95 at 50%)
4 weeks ago
gavq predicted No (H$95 at 50%)
20 weeks ago
zeebac predicted No (H$50 at 50%)
32 weeks ago
simonholey predicted Yes (H$40 at 49%)
35 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted No (H$20 at 51%)

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