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6 Nations: Italy v Wales Winning Margin?

Settled as Wales win by 1-5 points

Match began at 15:00 GMT (11:00 AM ET) on Saturday, March 14
Wales won by 5
http://www.scrum.com/sixnations/rugby/match/25793.html

Background:

Background: Wales coach Warren Gatland had made 10 changes from the side that started the loss in Paris, ending Wales' hopes of back-to-back Grand Slams. Dwayne peel has been ruled out of the competition as scans reveal a torn hamstring, so Mike Phillips will start at 9.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Wales by 11+ points
48%
Wales win by 6-10 points
30%
Wales win by 1-5 points
9%
Draw
1%
Italy win by 1-5 points
5%
Italy win by 6-10 points
4%
Italy win by 11+ points
2%
Settled as Wales win by 1-5 points on Sun 15th Mar 2009 6:35am PST

Suspend date: Sat 14th Mar 2009 2pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 15th Mar 2009 6:35am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 14th Mar 2009 8am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Wales by 11+ points: 47%, Wales win by 6-10 points: 28%, Wales win by 1-5 points: 10%, Draw: 1%, Italy win by 1-5 points: 6%, Italy win by 6-10 points: 5%, Italy win by 11+ points: 3%

Action history:

Created Wed 11th Mar 2009 4:16am PST by robuk[Admin]
Suspended Sat 14th Mar 2009 10:59am PST by infernalmachine[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Sat 14th Mar 2009 10:59am PST by infernalmachine[Power User]: Wales won 20-15. This question should have suspended at 3pm GMT (ie 11am EST) (market suspended)
Settled as 'Wales win by 1-5 points' Sun 15th Mar 2009 6:35am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Match began at 15:00 GMT (11:00 AM ET) on Saturday, March 14
Wales won by 5
http://www.scrum.com/sixnations/rugby/match/25793.html

Suspend date: Sat 14th Mar 2009 2pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 15th Mar 2009 6:35am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 14th Mar 2009 8am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (11)

1 year ago
donnamil predicted Wales win by 6-10 points (H$50 at 9%)
1 year ago
frogchop predicted Italy win by 6-10 points (H$5 at 2%)
1 year ago
frogchop predicted Wales win by 1-5 points (H$5 at 3%)
1 year ago
frogchop predicted Draw (H$5 at 0%)
1 year ago
frogchop predicted Italy win by 1-5 points (H$5 at 2%)

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