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Created Thu 12th Mar 12:41pm PST by wallysparks

Who will win the 2009 World Series of Poker Main Event in Las Vegas?

Settled as Any other American Player not listed

Joe Cada Faces Darvin Moon For WSOP Main Event Title

http://www.cardplayer.com/poker-news/7914-joe-cada-faces-darvin-moon-for-wsop-main-event-title

Background:

Background: The last 7 years have seen a string of amateurs and unknowns take down the biggest poker tournament of the year. Though many pros have gone deep, none have been able to take down the top prize. Will 2009 finally buck the trend?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Note: Question suspends the morning before the final table is determined on the July 15. The final 9 will come back in November to play out the final table. Winner will be determined on that November date.

 
Forecast history %
Phil Hellmuth/Phil Ivey/Phil Laak/Phil Gordon
12%
Chris Ferguson/Greg Raymer/Joe Hachem/Jamie Gold
0%
MikeMatusow/GusHansen/AllenCuningham/Erik Seidel
0%
Scotty Nguyen/John Juanda/JC Tran/David Pham
0%
BertrandGrospelier/AntonioEsfandiari/Tuan Le/NamLe
0%
DanielNegreanu/Erick Lindgren/Sam Farha/Eli Elezra
0%
Jen Harman/Annie Duke/Kathy Liebert/Vanessa Rousso
0%
Any other American Player not listed
77%
Any other European Player not listed
10%
Any other non American, non European player
0%
Settled as Any other American Player not listed on Mon 9th Nov 6:05am PST

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 6am PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Nov 6:05am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 6am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Phil Hellmuth/Phil Ivey/Phil Laak/Phil Gordon: 2%, Chris Ferguson/Greg Raymer/Joe Hachem/Jamie Gold: 1%, MikeMatusow/GusHansen/AllenCuningham/Erik Seidel: 2%, Scotty Nguyen/John Juanda/JC Tran/David Pham: 2%, BertrandGrospelier/AntonioEsfandiari/Tuan Le/NamLe: 1%, DanielNegreanu/Erick Lindgren/Sam Farha/Eli Elezra: 2%, Jen Harman/Annie Duke/Kathy Liebert/Vanessa Rousso: 1%, Any other American Player not listed: 49%, Any other European Player not listed: 30%, Any other non American, non European player: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 12th Mar 12:41pm PST by wallysparks
Changed Suspend date Thu 26th Mar 2:02pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: was: "2009-07-15 12:00:00"
Changed Suspend date Fri 27th Mar 4:43am PST by colinw: was: "2009-11-07 12:00:00"
Suspended Sat 7th Nov 6am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 8th Nov 7:15pm PST by wallysparks: 2 to go and "Any other American player not listed" is the guaranteed winner.

http://www.cardplayer.com/poker-news/7914-joe-cada-faces-darvin-moon-for-wsop-main-event-title
Settled as 'Any other American Player not listed' Mon 9th Nov 6:05am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Joe Cada Faces Darvin Moon For WSOP Main Event Title

http://www.cardplayer.com/poker-news/7914-joe-cada-faces-darvin-moon-for-wsop-main-event-title

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 6am PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Nov 6:05am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 6am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (997)

2 weeks ago
keithccc predicted Any other European Player not listed (H$100 at 9%)
2 weeks ago
mungo10 predicted Any other American Player not listed (H$100 at 78%)
2 weeks ago
swamee predicted Jen Harman/Annie Duke/Kathy Liebert/Vanessa Rousso (H$20 at 0%)
2 weeks ago
swamee predicted Scotty Nguyen/John Juanda/JC Tran/David Pham (H$20 at 0%)
3 weeks ago
cfcm77 predicted Any other European Player not listed (H$120 at 7%)

Comments (2)

  1 wallysparks
The "any other" options refer to a players country of citizenship, e.g. an Asian American player not listed winning would settle as "Any other American player." Also, I've decided to push the suspend date to the morning before the final table is played. The three month delay between the final table being set and actually being played is too long to keep a question suspended imo.
posted 34 weeks ago
  2 thaitanium
Day 8 is over, and the final table has been determined. Here are the current chip counts:

Darvin Moon - $58,930,000
Eric Buchman - $34,800,000
Steven Begleiter - $29,885,000
Jeff Shulman - $19,580,000
Joseph Cada - $13,215,000
Kevin Schaffel - $12,390,000
Phil Ivey - $9,765,000
Antoine Saout - $9,500,000
James Akenhead - $6,800,000

This means that there are only 2 Europeans left, and one pro left who is mentioned in the possibilities above.
posted 18 weeks ago

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