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Who will win the 2009 World Series of Poker Main Event in Las Vegas?

Suspended

Suspend date reached

Background:

Background: The last 7 years have seen a string of amateurs and unknowns take down the biggest poker tournament of the year. Though many pros have gone deep, none have been able to take down the top prize. Will 2009 finally buck the trend?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Note: Question suspends the morning before the final table is determined on the July 15. The final 9 will come back in November to play out the final table. Winner will be determined on that November date.

 
Forecast history %
Phil Hellmuth/Phil Ivey/Phil Laak/Phil Gordon
12%
Chris Ferguson/Greg Raymer/Joe Hachem/Jamie Gold
0%
MikeMatusow/GusHansen/AllenCuningham/Erik Seidel
0%
Scotty Nguyen/John Juanda/JC Tran/David Pham
0%
BertrandGrospelier/AntonioEsfandiari/Tuan Le/NamLe
0%
DanielNegreanu/Erick Lindgren/Sam Farha/Eli Elezra
0%
Jen Harman/Annie Duke/Kathy Liebert/Vanessa Rousso
0%
Any other American Player not listed
77%
Any other European Player not listed
10%
Any other non American, non European player
0%
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 6am PST

Initial likelihoods: Phil Hellmuth/Phil Ivey/Phil Laak/Phil Gordon: 2%, Chris Ferguson/Greg Raymer/Joe Hachem/Jamie Gold: 1%, MikeMatusow/GusHansen/AllenCuningham/Erik Seidel: 2%, Scotty Nguyen/John Juanda/JC Tran/David Pham: 2%, BertrandGrospelier/AntonioEsfandiari/Tuan Le/NamLe: 1%, DanielNegreanu/Erick Lindgren/Sam Farha/Eli Elezra: 2%, Jen Harman/Annie Duke/Kathy Liebert/Vanessa Rousso: 1%, Any other American Player not listed: 49%, Any other European Player not listed: 30%, Any other non American, non European player: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 12th Mar 12:41pm PST by wallysparks
Changed Suspend date Thu 26th Mar 2:02pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: was: "2009-07-15 12:00:00"
Changed Suspend date Fri 27th Mar 4:43am PST by colinw: was: "2009-11-07 12:00:00"
Suspended Sat 7th Nov 6am PST : Suspend date reached

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 6am PST details

 

Predictions (997)

21 hours ago
keithccc predicted Any other European Player not listed (H$100 at 9%)
21 hours ago
mungo10 predicted Any other American Player not listed (H$100 at 78%)
1 day ago
swamee predicted Jen Harman/Annie Duke/Kathy Liebert/Vanessa Rousso (H$20 at 0%)
1 day ago
swamee predicted Scotty Nguyen/John Juanda/JC Tran/David Pham (H$20 at 0%)
1 week ago
cfcm77 predicted Any other European Player not listed (H$120 at 7%)

Comments (2)

The "any other" options refer to a players country of citizenship, e.g. an Asian American player not listed winning would settle as "Any other American player." Also, I've decided to push the suspend date to the morning before the final table is played. The three month delay between the final table being set and actually being played is too long to keep a question suspended imo.
posted 32 weeks ago
Day 8 is over, and the final table has been determined. Here are the current chip counts:

Darvin Moon - $58,930,000
Eric Buchman - $34,800,000
Steven Begleiter - $29,885,000
Jeff Shulman - $19,580,000
Joseph Cada - $13,215,000
Kevin Schaffel - $12,390,000
Phil Ivey - $9,765,000
Antoine Saout - $9,500,000
James Akenhead - $6,800,000

This means that there are only 2 Europeans left, and one pro left who is mentioned in the possibilities above.
posted 16 weeks ago

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