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Will hubdub lift the ban on death pool type questions this year?

Background: Unfortunately for some, Hubdub changed their position on allowing death markets on site. The rule they have added is as follows:

Hubdub does not permit markets on the impending death (for example how or when) of people, or markets considered to be death tolls, unless expressly approved at the discretion of the Category Editor. This rule will apply even in the context of a mainstream news story. This rule applies to all markets created after February 10, 2009.

As seen above, this rule will not be retrospectively applied so all current death markets will be run until they are settled or otherwise. It was a difficult decision for us to make as we strongly value open speech and contributions from our members. However, we also have a responsibility to set the tone of our site and predicting on death adds very little value to our site to justify the negative emotions it provokes. I believe it is still possible to create good prediction markets from current news stories while avoiding focusing on death.

Some people believe in Freedom of speech and one should be able to voice an opinion or ask a simple straight forward question about something that’s as much a part of life as anything else.
The United Nations Universal Declaration of Human Rights, adopted in 1948, provides, in Article 19, that:
Everyone has the right to freedom of opinion and expression; this right includes freedom to hold opinions without interference and to seek, receive and impart information and ideas through any media and regardless of frontiers.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Possibly hubdub.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
5%
No
95%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Thu 12th Mar 4:20pm PST by onthelang

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (16)

21 weeks ago
kgholderman predicted No (H$100 at 95%)
23 weeks ago
topdog predicted No (H$50 at 95%)
26 weeks ago
hasturkun predicted Yes (H$20 at 7%)
26 weeks ago
hidddddy predicted Yes (H$113 at 12%)
26 weeks ago
daugsgotoheaven predicted Yes (H$44 at 11%)

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