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Will a cloned human being be born before 2015?

Background: Although the possibility of cloning human beings has been the subject of speculation for much of the twentieth century, scientitists and policy makers began to take the prospect seriously in the 1960s. Nobel Prize winning geneticist Joshua Lederberg advocated for cloning and genetic engineering in a seminal article in the American Naturalist in 1966 and again, the following year, in the Washington Post. He sparked a debate with conservative bioethicist Leon Kass, who wrote at the time that "the programmed reproduction of man will, in fact, dehumanize him." Another Nobel Laureate, James Watson, publicized the potential and the perils of cloning in his Atlantic Monthly essay, "Moving Toward the Clonal Man," in 1971.

Human cloning also gained a foothold in popular culture, starting in the 1970s. Alvin Toffler's Future Shock, David Rorvik's In His Image: Toward Cloning of a Man, Woody Allen's film "Sleeper" and the The Boys from Brazil all helped to make the general public aware of the ethical issues surrounding human cloning.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
68%
No
32%
Question suspends in 6 years

Suspend date: Sun 13th Dec 2015 11:59pm PST (6 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 12th Mar 6:31pm PST by onthelang

Suspend date: Sun 13th Dec 2015 11:59pm PST (6 years to go) details

 

Predictions (19)

3 weeks ago
neopugg predicted No (H$50 at 32%)
4 weeks ago
syne predicted No (H$100 at 32%)
6 weeks ago
aku_shamir29 predicted No (H$418 at 51%)
7 weeks ago
sandysahu predicted No (H$100 at 51%)
19 weeks ago
zetade predicted Yes (H$100 at 49%)

Comments (3)

  1 onthelang
Another me just younger ahhh...
posted 36 weeks ago
  2 gotmick
"A controversial doctor has claimed to have cloned human embryos and transferred them to four women prepared to give birth to the first cloned babies."

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-1172487/
posted 30 weeks ago
  3 paddy112
Yea but he is controversial like
posted 25 weeks ago

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