Will any of the ten individuals currently on the FBI’s most wanted list be caught this year?

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Thu 30th Jul 5:59am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 23rd Jul 6:40pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Thu 12th Mar 7:10pm PST by onthelang

Changed Settlement info Fri 13th Mar 4:55am PST by sqlman: show details

... news source. More details at: &lt;a href="&lt;a href="<a href=" ... topten/fugitives/fugitives.htm&lt">http://www.fbi.gov/wanted/topten/fugitives/fugitives.htm&lt</a>;/a>">&lt;a href="<a href="http://www.fbi.gov/wanted/topten/fugitives/fugitives.htm&lt">http://www.fbi.gov/wanted/topten/fugitives/fugitives.htm&lt</a>;"><a href="http://www.fbi.gov/wanted/topten/fugitives/fugitives.htm&lt">www.fbi.gov/wanted/topten/fugitives/fugitives.htm&lt</a>;&lt;/a>;/a>

Settlement requested Tue 28th Jul 9:55am PST by buckeyetom: Settle as YES.
Harper was captured.

http://news.aol.com/article/one-of-fbis-most-wanted-captured/586999?icid=main|main|dl1|link3|http%3A%2F%2Fnews.aol.com%2Farticle%2Fone-of-fbis-most-wanted-captured%2F586999

Settled as 'Yes' Thu 30th Jul 5:59am PST by ryanj: Edward Harper was caught in July
http://www.wlbt.com/Global/story.asp?S=10782240

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Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Thu 30th Jul 5:59am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 23rd Jul 6:40pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details