Created Sun 15th Mar 11:24am PST by

conspiracy2riot Level 14, Prophet (H$110,849)

What will be the next 'Bomb' report in Afghanistan?

Voided

Unfortunately the market is in essence a death market due to the fact that one of the options for settlement explicitly involves death, even though that death regards the bomber himself.

Background:

Background: KABUL — A roadside bomb killed four American soldiers in eastern Afghanistan on Sunday _ new evidence of rising violence in a region where U.S. officials say clashes and attacks have doubled since early last year.

The spike in violence along the border is an early indication that roadside bombs and other ambushes are likely to surge as thousands of new U.S. forces arrive in Afghanistan this year.

A suicide bomber, meanwhile, attacked a NATO convoy in Kabul on Sunday but instead killed two passers-by _ among 18 people killed Sunday, officials said.

Clashes and attacks in the eastern province of Kunar surged 131 percent in January and February from the same period in 2008, said Lt. Col. Rumi Nielson-Green, a U.S. spokeswoman.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/03/15/bomb-kills-4-us-soldiers-_n_175080.html

So which will be the next 'bombing' event reported? Bombs dropped by the US or any military allies will not count. Only insurgents, the Taliban. Al Queda and civilians, etc. setting off bombs will qualify.

The bombing event must occur no later than March 31st. Question will settle when it is reported to have taken place or April 1st, whichever comes first.

Settlement date is fixed.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

A Roadside bomb goes off

30%

A Suicide bomb occurs

30%

Roadside and Suicide Bomb happen same day

30%

No bombs are detonated between now and 3-31

10%

Voided Mon 16th Mar 2:11pm PST

Activity: H$14,320
Predictions: 23
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Wed 1st Apr 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: A Roadside bomb goes off: 30%, A Suicide bomb occurs: 30%, Roadside and Suicide Bomb happen same day : 30%, No bombs are detonated between now and 3-31: 10%

Action history:

Created Sun 15th Mar 11:24am PST by

conspiracy2riot Level 14, Prophet (H$110,849)

Settlement requested Mon 16th Mar 12:51am PST by

conspiracy2riot Level 14, Prophet (H$110,849)

: suicide bomb

http://www.iht.com/articles/reuters/2009/03/16/asia/OUKWD-UK-AFGHAN-VIOLENCE.php

Settlement requested Mon 16th Mar 1:59am PST by

growthy Level 13, Psychic (H$80,482)

: Suicide Attacks Kill 12 in Afghanistan http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/17/world/asia/17afghan.html?ref=world

Suspended Mon 16th Mar 2:58am PST by

kruijs [Power User]

: Suspended pending settlement

Settlement requested Mon 16th Mar 2:58am PST by

kruijs [Power User]

: Suicide Attacks Kill 12 in Afghanistan (market suspended)

Settlement requested Mon 16th Mar 11:25am PST by

conspiracy2riot Level 14, Prophet (H$110,849)

: http://www.reuters.com/article/newsMaps/idUSTRE52F1UB20090316

Looks like there could be confusion bout the bombs that went off on Sunday, the 15th. This clearly speaks to the ones going off on the 16th.

Voided Mon 16th Mar 2:11pm PST by

ryanj

: Unfortunately the market is in essence a death market due to the fact that one of the options for settlement explicitly involves death, even though that death regards the bomber himself.

hide

Suspend date: Wed 1st Apr 11:59pm PST details

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Predictions (23)

33 weeks ago

curios predicted A Roadside bomb goes off (H$100 at 19%)

33 weeks ago

yunjong135 Level 1, Newbie (H$640)

predicted Roadside and Suicide Bomb happen same day (H$100 at 11%)

33 weeks ago

yunjong135 Level 1, Newbie (H$640)

predicted A Suicide bomb occurs (H$100 at 67%)

33 weeks ago

growthy Level 13, Psychic (H$80,482)

predicted A Suicide bomb occurs (H$500 at 69%)

33 weeks ago

rbrog77 Level 15, Seer (H$272,950)

predicted A Suicide bomb occurs (H$250 at 63%)

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