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Will a working anti-mosquito laser weapon be deployed to combat malaria by 2010?

Background:

Hear the buzz? Not much longer...


A laser gun that kills malaria-carrying mosquitoes by the millions is being developed by American astrophysicists. The so-called weapon of mosquito destruction (WMD), as it is dubbed, detects the sound of female mosquitoes' beating wings and fires a laser beam that burns the targeted insect. The laser would be able to sweep an area and "toast millions of mosquitoes in a few minutes," Dr. Jordin Kare, lead scientist on the project, told CNN Monday. "The laser is able to distinguish between mosquitoes that go after people and those that aren't dangerous."

The weapon offers hope of stopping the spread of malaria, which the World Health Organization says infects 300 million people every year and kills an African child every 30 seconds. Intellectual Ventures, based in Washington, commissioned the WMD research with funding from Microsoft Corp. co-founder and ex-chairman Bill Gates, who is campaigning for the eradication of malaria. The company is run by former Microsoft Corp. executive Nathan Myhrvold. The WMD research involves scientists who took part in the research for the U.S. "Star Wars" anti-missile defense system during the Cold War. (Windsor Genova - AHN News Writer)

'Star Wars' scientists create laser gun to kill mosquitoes (CNN.com)
YouTube Mosquito Death Ray Spoof Now Real Research Project (Information Week)



Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. NOTE: to settle as the second option, news sources must explicitly state that the weapon is under development but not yet ready to roll out; to settle as the third option, news sources must explicitly state that the entire thing was a hoax or prank.

 
Forecast history %
Yes; zapping operations will commence
10%
No; the weapon won't be ready yet
64%
No; the whole thing is a hoax
26%
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes; zapping operations will commence: 30%, No; the weapon won't be ready yet: 50%, No; the whole thing is a hoax: 20%

Action history:

Created Tue 17th Mar 1:53am PST by sqlman[Admin]
Changed Description Tue 17th Mar 2:20am PST by sqlman[Admin]: show details
... height="344" width="425"></object><br/> <br/>

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go) details

 

Predictions (47)

4 days ago
trashmagnet predicted No; the weapon won't be ready yet (H$50 at 64%)
4 weeks ago
slooqidooqi predicted No; the weapon won't be ready yet (H$1,205 at 59%)
11 weeks ago
rytis predicted No; the weapon won't be ready yet (H$100 at 53%)
16 weeks ago
keithjohnston predicted No; the weapon won't be ready yet (H$50 at 52%)
17 weeks ago
jacocoll predicted No; the whole thing is a hoax (H$100 at 33%)

Comments (3)

  1 arleyguy
Would it work for those bloomin' midges too?
posted 35 weeks ago
  2 sqlman[Admin]
Not sure...give the laboratory a call amd ask. :-)
posted 35 weeks ago
I think this is an awesome idea - I've fantasised about something like this for years when I've been camping. Although the generator to power the lasers might be a bit heavy to take hiking.
posted 1 day ago

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