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10 X 10 X 10?

Background: Will 10 new Hubdub members attain or otherwise accomplish the 10 items listed below before 2010? To qualify the following will need to be true on 12/13/09.

1.) Ten new members that have joined hubdub no earlier than 3/19/09.

2.) Each of these new ten members will themselves have made at least ten friends on HD.

3.) Each will have left at least ten comments on existing questions.

4.) Have created, and have settled ten original questions with at least one in each of the following categories; Politics, Sports, Entertainment, World, Business, Technology and Science.

5.) Have a void ratio of 10% or less.

6.) Have a balance of at least $10K, (10 x the original 1,000 starting amount.)

7.) Not preTENd to be anonymous, but have an avatar other than the generic smiley HD face.

8.) Have a link to a blog or a website on their profile.

9.) A profile description of at least ten words.

10.) At least ten shout outs to other members.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
No new members accomplish these 10 things in '09.
31%
One, two or three accomplish all 10
34%
Four, five or six accomplish all 10
16%
Seven, eight or nine accomplish all 10
13%
Ten or more accomplish all 10!
7%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: No new members accomplish these 10 things in '09.: 5%, One, two or three accomplish all 10: 40%, Four, five or six accomplish all 10: 30%, Seven, eight or nine accomplish all 10: 20%, Ten or more accomplish all 10!: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 18th Mar 4:08pm PST by valornhonor

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (71)

3 weeks ago
jank predicted No new members accomplish these 10 things in '09. (H$100 at 30%)
13 weeks ago
harkon predicted No new members accomplish these 10 things in '09. (H$1,000 at 42%)
16 weeks ago
ghostbuster predicted No new members accomplish these 10 things in '09. (H$9 at 29%)
17 weeks ago
rocky101 predicted Seven, eight or nine accomplish all 10 (H$20 at 8%)
17 weeks ago
harkon predicted No new members accomplish these 10 things in '09. (H$250 at 19%)

Comments (17)

This can soooo easily be gamed, can't it?
posted 35 weeks ago
  2 spyder
#4 should be: "have settled AT LEAST 10 questions", and not 10 exactly...
posted 35 weeks ago
good Lord, V....where do you come up with this stuff? and how much fun will you have settling this, lol? i don't envy you this project. i also don't have much confidence in someone meeting all that criteria....but still....will be interesting to see how this plays out.
posted 35 weeks ago
For the record, YES, I'll check results on New Year's Eve, and Yes, spyder, it SHOULD read AT LEAST, making an 11th or more would not disqualify someone. And brian72975... I know this looks like it could be easily gamed but it would actually require some collusion and a good deal of coordination, for example, someone could easily blow the <10% void ratio in the closing days and C2R... I don't think any existing members would meet qualifications # 2-10, it will be interesting to see if any of the new folks are game to try and make it. I doubt that anyone would accidentally meet all these requirements, I think it will take some careful and deliberate effort. If anyone thinks that they've qualified, please send me a note!
posted 35 weeks ago
Dont preTENd you can do this. I inTENd to make sure that the question is fair but i dont really want to TENd to this question.
posted 35 weeks ago
@ dragonfangxl

I know it's your TENdency to not be laTENt, but as is ofTEN the case I have TENaciously created a TENtacled question, TENderly TENdered for the community's sometimes TENse consideration, fortunately the HD family is a big TENt and accommodates my preTENtiousness... most of the time... but it's also true that my void ratio is high... 35%!
posted 35 weeks ago
If i were judging you id give you a TEN out of TEN for your use of the word TEN . Pun inTENded
posted 35 weeks ago
so deliciously game-able

gameable

gamable

gaymuhble
posted 35 weeks ago
Huh?
posted 35 weeks ago
@ robamichael

Thanks for the preponderance of your participation and pronouncements, if you'd care to create a question, carefully, and it settles you TOO can have a 0% void ratio!
posted 35 weeks ago
  11 tgallag2
I think it would take a whole TEN tons of effort to game this question. I joined in February and I'm not even close to any category other than TEN friends, TEN comments. This would be a lot of hard work I think both to check and to get TEN people qualified.
posted 34 weeks ago
  12 frogchop
I think it's the rare beast who posts ten new questions in seven different categories. Most folks stick to a niche or two with their question writing. I think this one would have to be the most likely gamed. The rest seem relatively common once someone settles into the site.
posted 34 weeks ago
I have a sneaking suspicion one of you old foxes that know this site inside and out will go out, create a new identity (to join after the deadline) and easily fulfill the criteria. So, I will bet on a few players achieving the stated goals. It would take a bit of effort, but not hard to do....
posted 34 weeks ago
@valor

hey man, meant no harm!

Simple observation that's all. I'm sure it will go smoothly
posted 34 weeks ago
  15 youbet
if you check out each new member, make friends with them and show them this question......................... ?
posted 33 weeks ago
I'm going to try and do this (1st comment)
posted 24 weeks ago
Will No One rise to this challenge?!
posted 12 weeks ago

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