Created Wed 18th Mar 2009 11:58pm PST by

valornhonor Level 9, Expert (H$7,604)

Will CPI-U meet/beat +1% for any month in 2009?

Settled as No

The largest increase was back in June when it rose 0.7%, so it did not reach 1% in 2009

Background:

Background: Stat being tracked here is the Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers as tracked by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the United States. Please see this link for a sample explanation:

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

Interestingly as recently as Nov 08 the CPI-U was a negative 1.7%, now in Feb 09 it has turned to a +.4%, a 2.1% swing in just 4 months! Will the trend continue or will it level off?

Related article:

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/US-consumer-prices-rise-04-apf-14675456.html

Settlement details:As reported by a the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, monthly for the calendar year 2009 @ www.bls.gov

Forecast history %

Yes

10%

90%

Settled as No on Sat 16th Jan 6am PST

Activity: H$47,477
Predictions: 64
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 16th Jan 6am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 18th Mar 2009 11:58pm PST by

valornhonor Level 9, Expert (H$7,604)

Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 14th Jan 10:16pm PST by

randburg Level 20, Hubdub God (H$5,851,660)

: This question has been suspended for more than fourteen days without settlement. Can this question please be settled at this time? Many Thanks!

Settled as 'No' Sat 16th Jan 6am PST by

bayoubear [Admin]

: The largest increase was back in June when it rose 0.7%, so it did not reach 1% in 2009

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Predictions (64)

12 weeks ago

bayoubear [Admin]

predicted No (H$1,000 at 87%)

13 weeks ago

neverlupus Level 11, Legend (H$20,980)

predicted No (H$200 at 75%)

13 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted No (H$3,000 at 73%)

17 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted No (H$500 at 55%)

17 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted No (H$400 at 53%)

Comments (1)

bayoubear [Admin]

Settlement for this question will not be possible until at least mid-January, so be patient...

posted 12 weeks ago

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