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Will Omar Hassan al-Bashir, President of Sudan, be arrested as ordered by the ICC by end of 2009?

Settled as No

We're still waiting...

Background:

Background: President Omar is the first acting President of a nation to be indicted by the International Criminal Court.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
3%
No
97%
Settled as No on Fri 1st Jan 9:58am PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 9:58am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Thu 19th Mar 2009 8:27pm PST by colleen
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 1st Jan 12:19am PST by dieseldog: no news of this occuring, settle as no please.
Settled as 'No' Fri 1st Jan 9:58am PST by sqlman[Admin]: We're still waiting...

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 9:58am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (25)

16 weeks ago
bernardo predicted No (H$3,000 at 85%)
16 weeks ago
bernardo predicted No (H$5,000 at 82%)
16 weeks ago
bernardo predicted No (H$5,000 at 76%)
19 weeks ago
szklaneoko predicted No (H$200 at 73%)
19 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$2,500 at 71%)

Comments (2)

ICC Indictment Forcing Bashir to Stay at Home
http://www.voanews.com/english/2009-10-29-voa45.cfm
An African Union summit in Nigeria was held to discuss the recommendations of a high-level panel report on resolving the Darfur conflict. Noticeably absent from the conference was Sudanese President Omar Hassan al-Bashir, despite a formal invitation from Abuja to attend.

In March, the Sudanese president became the first sitting head of state to be indicted by the International Criminal Court at The Hague.

Since acquiring the distinction of being the first head of state to officially double as an international fugitive, the president has categorically avoided stepping foot in any country that is a signatory to the ICC. Nigeria is just the latest in a number of African invitations skipped by the Sudanese leader, despite the defiance taken by the African Union against the arrest warrant.
...
[More at the link...]
posted 19 weeks ago
  2 dieseldog
A BIG CONGRADULATIONS TO ALL THE ADMINS

thanks for settling all the end of the year questions in a timely manner. i know you take alot of grief from some of the members (except me) and still continue to do your jobs. my new year resolution is to start fresh, and let the past go. i can't promise i won't be a pain in the neck, but i'll try not to.

ONCE AGAIN THANKS FOR YOUR TIME AND EFFORT YOU PUT FORTH WITH LITTLE REWARD!
posted 10 weeks ago

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