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Will a North American Church experience gunfire during a sermon during 2009?

Settled as No

There were no reports of this happening (but if you know of any, please let us know)

Background:

Background: Terry J. Sedlacek was charged with two counts of first degree murder, and aggravated battery, for storming into the church on March 8, at 8 a.m., and shooting Reverend Fred Winters, who was on the podium, with a .45 caliber semi-automatic pistol. The Reverend Fred Winters used his bible to block the bullet, but died later.

The reverend was preaching about happiness in the workplace, with a sermon titled. “Come on Get Happy” when the bullet hit his bible, and sprayed shreds of paper into the air. Oddly, other parishioners thought the gunman and the shot were part of a skit.

Terry Sedlacek had been determined to be mentally ill by doctors, before the shooting. He also suffers from Lyme disease.

Given the hard economic times and the increasing number of crazy and ill people among us, is it possible this could happen again, during a sermon in North America this year?

Settlement date is fixed.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
4%
No
96%
Settled as No on Fri 1st Jan 11:33am PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 11:33am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Fri 20th Mar 2009 2:42pm PST by conspiracy2riot
Suspended Mon 1st Jun 2009 3:05am PST by sqlman[Admin]: Checking possible settlement details
Unsuspended Thu 9th Jul 2009 4:06am PST by sqlman[Admin]: The Dr. Tiller gunshot murder took place during a church service, but not during the sermon, so fails to meet the criteria for settlement here...
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 8:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 1st Jan 10:38am PST by elly: No such reports.
Settled as 'No' Fri 1st Jan 11:33am PST by sqlman[Admin]: There were no reports of this happening (but if you know of any, please let us know)

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 11:33am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (60)

11 weeks ago
stephmoreland predicted No (H$397 at 96%)
14 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$2,000 at 82%)
19 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$1,000 at 72%)
21 weeks ago
horatiomonty predicted Yes (H$500 at 28%)
26 weeks ago
threedts predicted Yes (H$100 at 27%)

Comments (5)

Now I don't want to hear that any Hubdubbers gamed this Q....
posted 51 weeks ago
I wasnt going to but now that you put the thought in my head... I guess it goes back to the question thats been plauging mankind since the dawn of creation.. Whats more important my immortal soul or hubdub $?
posted 51 weeks ago
Great, the one hubdubber I KNOW that lives in Oregon....that's it. No more Church for me till this Q settles.
posted 46 weeks ago
So the story says "Terry Sedlacek had been determined to be mentally ill by doctors, before the shooting. He also suffers from Lyme disease." Was he also suffering from "hard economic times"?

If that were the case, maybe the government should quit taxing people as a precaution... don't want to make those sick people mad!
posted 46 weeks ago
Guess we should also fear pissing off 'pro life' people who take guns to church to kill people with whom they disagree.

I wonder if Operation Rescue is on Homelands terrorist watch list.
posted 41 weeks ago

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