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What will President Obama's approval rating be on Monday March 30th, 2009?

Settled as 58% to 60%

Background:

Economic enthusiasm has now reached a 20 month high. As one report shows, consumer mood has shown a change, but so far spending has stayed the same.

Americans are outraged at the way congress and the President have handled the bailouts and the threat to start using tax law to punish a targeted group of people who broke no law.

How will this influence the job approval ratings? This question asks "What will President Obama's approval rating be after it is updated 1pm (Eastern) Monday March 30, 2009?"

Settlement details:As reported by Gallup at http://www.gallup.com

 
Forecast history %
50% or below
1%
51% to 54%
1%
55% to 57%
6%
58% to 60%
47%
61% to 63%
38%
64% or 65%
5%
66% or 67%
2%
68% or 69%
1%
70% to 72%
0%
73% or above
0%
Settled as 58% to 60% on Tue 31st Mar 9:05am PST

Suspend date: Mon 30th Mar 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Tue 31st Mar 9:05am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 30th Mar 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 50% or below: 1%, 51% to 54%: 5%, 55% to 57%: 10%, 58% to 60%: 20%, 61% to 63%: 24%, 64% or 65%: 16%, 66% or 67%: 12%, 68% or 69%: 9%, 70% to 72%: 2%, 73% or above: 1%

Action history:

Created Sat 21st Mar 6:49am PST by notablenotices[Power User]
Suspended Mon 30th Mar 4:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 31st Mar 6:43am PST by horsefeathers: http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
Settled as '58% to 60%' Tue 31st Mar 9:05am PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 30th Mar 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Tue 31st Mar 9:05am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 30th Mar 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (197)

33 weeks ago
panathinaikos08 predicted 61% to 63% (H$20 at 38%)
33 weeks ago
zoltar predicted 58% to 60% (H$20 at 47%)
33 weeks ago
mattsnever predicted 50% or below (H$20 at 0%)
33 weeks ago
mattsnever predicted 58% to 60% (H$250 at 46%)
33 weeks ago
mattsnever predicted 61% to 63% (H$250 at 38%)

Comments (1)

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