Created Sat 21st Mar 2:08pm PST by

kruijs [Power User]

Which country will win the Eurovision Song Contest 2009?

Settled as Norway

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/entertainment/8052636.stm

Background:

Background: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurovision_Song_Contest_2009
http://www.paddypower.com/bet?action=go_type&category=SPECIALS&disp_cat_id=&ev_class_id=44&ev_type_id=437&ev_oc_grp_ids=7538&bir_index=

Also see:
http://www.hubdub.com/m30430/Who_will_win_eurovision_2009

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Norway

42%

Greece

12%

Montenegro

Turkey

14%

Azerbaijan

Sweden

Malta

Any other country

21%

Settled as Norway on Sun 17th May 1:05am PST

Activity: H$32,411
Predictions: 192
Comments: 4

Suspend date: Sat 16th May 10:59am PST
Settlement date: Sun 17th May 1:05am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 16th May 10:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Norway: 33%, Greece: 18%, Montenegro: 10%, Turkey: 9%, Azerbaijan: 8%, Sweden: 7%, Malta: 6%, UK: 5%, Any other country: 4%

Action history:

Created Sat 21st Mar 2:08pm PST by

kruijs [Power User]

Suspended Sat 16th May 10:59am PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 16th May 2:26pm PST by

kruijs [Power User]

: Please settle "Norway"
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/entertainment/8052636.stm

Settled as 'Norway' Sun 17th May 1:05am PST by

robuk

: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/entertainment/8052636.stm

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Predictions (192)

27 weeks ago

kingyosullivan Level 13, Psychic (H$98,429)

predicted Sweden (H$50 at 2%)

27 weeks ago

kamals Level 8, Super-Pro (H$6,244)

predicted Norway (H$50 at 43%)

27 weeks ago

rdeggau Level 14, Prophet (H$107,470)

predicted Norway (H$50 at 42%)

27 weeks ago

charlieh Level 10, Genius (H$14,404)

predicted Any other country (H$50 at 21%)

27 weeks ago

charlieh Level 10, Genius (H$14,404)

predicted Turkey (H$50 at 14%)

Comments (4)

lorddavis3 Level 2, Novice (H$1,048)

Norway or Sweden will battle it out, turkey and greece will be close.

posted 33 weeks ago

kruijs [Power User]

Eurovision Forecast:
http://www.google.com/landing/eurovision/index.html

posted 28 weeks ago

pembeci Level 14, Prophet (H$118,961)

This year half of the country votes will come from musician juries hopefully reducing the effect of neighbor favoritism at the public vote. Let's see how that will effect the results compared to previous years. I am guessing Balkan and ex-Soviet countries will be effected most with this change.

posted 27 weeks ago

bookie Level 13, Psychic (H$64,812)

Looks like Norway, shame I cashed in the bigger bet...

posted 27 weeks ago

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