Created Sat 21st Mar 5:47pm PST by 
ben1
ben1 
In 2009, will a bank larger than Wachovia (the largest bank failure to date) fail in the United Stat
Background: In 2008, several of America's major financial institutions failed or nearly failed including AIG, Lehman Bros., Indy Mac, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Wachovia. Now, speculation looms that Obama policies coupled with the wosening economy might cause even larger banks to fail namely Citi.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes, a bank larger than Wachovia fails in 2009 |
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| A bank larger than Wachovia is saved by the gov't |
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| No, no banks larger than Wachovia near collapse |
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Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$23,700 |
- Predictions: 28 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 12:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes, a bank larger than Wachovia fails in 2009: 25%, A bank larger than Wachovia is saved by the gov't: 50%, No, no banks larger than Wachovia near collapse: 25%
Action history:
Created Sat 21st Mar 5:47pm PST by ben1
ben1 
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 12:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (28)
frogchop
predicted No, no banks larger than Wachovia near collapse (H$500 at 78%)
predicted No, no banks larger than Wachovia near collapse (H$3,000 at 68%)
predicted Yes, a bank larger than Wachovia fails in 2009 (H$20 at 9%)
splash208
predicted No, no banks larger than Wachovia near collapse (H$20 at 64%)Comments (0)
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