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Will the arsonist who escaped by hiding under a prison van be caught?

Settled as caught within a month

The arsonist was turned himself in this morning in London
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/politics/lawandorder/5082655/Prisoner-who-escaped-by-clinging-to-underside-of-a-van-is-rearrested.html

Background:

Background: LONDON (Reuters) - Police were hunting Monday a convicted arsonist who escaped from London's Pentonville prison by clinging to the underside of the security van that brought him there.

Julien Chautard, 39, gave prison officers the slip shortly after he was counted off the van, newspapers reported.

His disappearance Friday evening was not noticed before the van was cleared to drive out of the jail.

It was only when CCTV footage was checked seven hours later that officers noticed a shadow under the van that had not been there before.

Chautard had been sentenced earlier in the day at Snaresbrook Crown Court to seven years imprisonment for two counts of arson, Scotland Yard said.

Police said he has connections in France and also has links to the Hackney, Edgware and Kings Cross areas of north London.

"The circumstances around the escape will be fully investigated," the Ministry of Justice said.

http://au.news.yahoo.com/a/-/mp/5465659/arsonist-escapes-prison-clinging-security-van/

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
caught within a month
59%
caught in two months
12%
not caught by suspended time
29%
Settled as caught within a month on Wed 1st Apr 11:51am PST

Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 1st Apr 11:51am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 1st Apr 1am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: caught within a month: 40%, caught in two months: 35%, not caught by suspended time: 25%

Action history:

Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 1st Apr 11:51am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 1st Apr 1am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (30)

33 weeks ago
tannerdude18 predicted caught in two months (H$20 at 9%)
33 weeks ago
adammccormicks predicted caught in two months (H$100 at 8%)
33 weeks ago
jhc360 predicted not caught by suspended time (H$20 at 51%)
33 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted not caught by suspended time (H$1,000 at 45%)
33 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted not caught by suspended time (H$1,000 at 32%)

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But the convict spent just minutes inside Pentonville prison in north London before he slipped out underneath the van he had arrived in. It is beleived Chautard may have crawled underneath the van and clung on as it was driven back through the prison

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But the convict spent just minutes inside Pentonville prison in north London before he slipped out underneath the van he had arrived in. It is beleived Chautard may have crawled underneath the van and clung on as it was driven back through the prison

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