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Will the source of the Wolverine leak be found this month?

Settled as No

Nothing definitive determined.

Background:

Background: Unfortunately someone has leaked the new Wolverine movie onto the net a full month before release, and the torrents have been going mental downloading it. Will authorities locate and charge the perps responsible by the end of April?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
4%
No
96%
Settled as No on Fri 1st May 11:58am PST

Suspend date: Thu 30th Apr 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st May 11:58am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 30th Apr 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 1st Apr 3:58pm PST by cookietime
Settlement requested Thu 9th Apr 6:48pm PST by curios: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/scott-mendelson/arrests-made-in-wolverine_b_184885.html
Suspended Thu 30th Apr 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Fri 1st May 11:58am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Nothing definitive determined.

Suspend date: Thu 30th Apr 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st May 11:58am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 30th Apr 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (204)

29 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted No (H$800 at 96%)
29 weeks ago
makuus predicted No (H$50 at 96%)
29 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
29 weeks ago
athex predicted No (H$100 at 96%)
29 weeks ago
matt42 predicted No (H$1,000 at 96%)

Comments (22)

I have no idea what the likelihood of this happening might be - hopefully my starting odds aren't too far off.
posted 33 weeks ago
OMG, you mean to tell me that the new x-men movie is out on the internet right now, and all I have to do is download it and watch it! Why didn't you tell me sooner! X-O
posted 33 weeks ago
  3 nocheesie
this happens often. although not often with blockbuster films like this one. i watched Taken half a year before it was released.
posted 33 weeks ago
  4 lola
FBI Called In Over Wolverine Leak
April 2, 2009 | The BBC

The FBI are investigating the online leak of an almost finished copy of X-Men Origins: Wolverine, a month before the film's cinema release. The Hugh Jackman film was downloaded an estimated several 100,000 times from file sharing websites on Tuesday. 20th Century Fox confirmed the copy had now been removed and the FBI informed. The studio behind Wolverine stated: "The source of the initial leak and any subsequent postings will be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law." "The courts have handed down significant criminal sentences for such acts" the studio noted.

The studio added that because their content is forensically marked they should be able to trace the person who uploaded it. A brief caption at the beginning of the film reads 'Rising Sun Pictures' and is dated 2 March, 2009. According to its website, Rising Sun Pictures is an Australian visual effects company that worked on the film and is currently working on production of Terminator Salvation. However, there is no evidence to suggest the company was involved in the leak. The Federation Against Copyright Theft said a leak of this kind was extremely unusual as pre-release security had been tightened in recent years. Access to a whole film is severely restricted, with post production workers being given small portions of the movie to work on and measures put in place to stop it being copied on to disc.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/entertainment/7978379.stm
posted 33 weeks ago
  5 nocheesie
adam, this is not the real thing, it's not rendered on the CG part. i think this is done by fox, to help with box office. trying to blame it on rising sun is pretty stupid. if rising sun leaked it, then the CG part wouldn't be unrendered.
posted 33 weeks ago
  6 curios
hey COOKIE perhaps they have hidden in nrl shorts ( OK guys and girls it a inside joke)?
posted 32 weeks ago
  7 sqlman[Admin]
From Rising Sun's website (http://www.rsp.com.au/news.htm): "...the stolen material is a work in progress version of the film with many incomplete sections. As we worked on individual sequences within the film, neither RSP or its staff members have ever been in possession of a full-length version, so it would have been impossible for the movie to have been leaked from here. It's common practice for work in progress between us and the production to carry vendor watermarks and for these works in progress to be integrated into various edits of the film for screenings which would explain why our name appears."

Nothing on the MPAA website about the leak, not--that I was able to find--on the FBI site. Hmmm...
posted 32 weeks ago
  8 curios
Update
Fox News issued a statement yesterday (6 April) in which it confirmed that Friedman had been fired following the hoopla caused by his decision to review an unauthorised version of Wolverine ahead of its official box office release.

"Fox News representatives and Roger Friedman met today and mutually agreed to part ways immediately," said the media firm.

"Fox News appreciates Mr Friedman's ten years of contributions to building foxnews.com and wishes him success in his future endeavors. Mr Friedman is grateful to his colleagues for their friendship and support over the past decade
posted 32 weeks ago
  9 sqlman[Admin]
Oh, no! It's the Crime of the Century! It's Gods of the Lightning! It's L.A. Confidential! It's...

Oh, whatever: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/scott-mendelson/arrests-made-in-wolverine_b_184885.html

:-)
posted 32 weeks ago
  10 firechild
From the article above: "Hopefully the arrests of these three shady looking immigrants, who are in no way connected to 20th Century Fox, will resolve any speculation that the leak was intentional and that Fox itself is to blame."

LOL!!! You wish!
posted 32 weeks ago
  11 curios
Strange 13% has been wagered on this q by one person , i expected he has cashed in, the question has already been answered. cannot see why it has not been cleared sqlman your caustic remark has not gone unnoticed
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/scott-mendelson/arrests-made-in-wolverine_b_184885.html
posted 30 weeks ago
  12 cookietime
That article is a joke if you read the comments, although i admit, its a joke i dont really get...
posted 30 weeks ago
  13 sqlman[Admin]
Yes, the article to which I linked in comment #9 was a complete joke; hence the lack of either settlement or settlement request, and the presence of a smiley, and the article tage humor, and the italicized book/movie titles... I could explain it, but that'd take all the fun out of it. But here's some shortcut material that could help:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rollo_Tomasi
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bruno_Richard_Hauptmann
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sacco_%26_Vanzetti

I admit the humor may be too subtle for some folks' taste, but I liked it.:-)
posted 30 weeks ago
  14 curios
no it is not missed on me to which it is aimed and that is not a smiley at least a nice and taken below it is prove of your deliberate effort to get at me ,honest ones.have tried but found that i am up to there class. your words below

Yes, the article to which I linked in comment #9 was a complete joke; hence the lack of either settlement or settlement request, and the presence of a smiley, and the article tage humor, and the italicized book/movie titles... I could explain it, but that'd take all the fun out of it. But here's some shortcut material that could

if you where to look under details you will find a bequest for settlement has been made .

also your spelling needs to improve . idea try a spell checker
tage? that'd? tut tut
regards. good one cookie #12
posted 30 weeks ago
  15 curios
Incidently the request for settlement was made last friday april the 10th at 10.48 wst
thease are your words ( hence the lack of either settlement or settlement request)
posted 30 weeks ago
  16 cookietime
@sqlman ah thanks for the background, I'd never heard of any of those guys!
posted 30 weeks ago
  18 curios
as you read,
I've just gotten confirmation from a source on the LAPD, officer Rolo Tomassi, that three people have been arrested and charged with the shocking internet leak of 20th Century Fox's X-Men Origins: Wolverine. Production company RSP had famously denied involvement, and a major FBI raid on an Dallas Internet hub caused major damage to businesses in the area. And, just days ago, longtime Fox News online columnist Friedman was probably/possibly/maybe fired for reviewing the bootleg and basically advocating online piracy. Online speculation has run rampant as to whether or not the leak was actually an inside job meant to drum up publicity for the bad-buzz plagued production, or perhaps allow Fox to write off losses should the film under-perform at the box office.

But now, just a week after the storm broke, and to the relief to film executives everywhere, three suspects have apparently been caught. We don't know anything except the names of the suspects, but I'll bring you any and all updates. The men arrested have been identified as Bruno Richard Hauptmann, Ferdinando Nicola Sacco, and Bartolomeo Vanzetti. More on this shocking twist as it develops. Fox head honcho Tom Rothman has expressed relief and satisfaction over the arrests.

"Hopefully the arrests of these three shady looking immigrants, who are in no way connected to 20th Century Fox, will resolve any speculation that the leak was intentional and that Fox itself is to blame."
posted 29 weeks ago
@curios:

Interesting link, however we should wait for a more reliable news source than the Huffington Post
posted 29 weeks ago
  20 curios
@notablenotices.
huffington post is used as a question maker /or to finalise many q on the site.
i have no reason not to trust them , i certainly did not make it up .
it has already asked for settlement some time ago look under details
posted 29 weeks ago
  21 sqlman[Admin]
Guys, my comments about that Huffington Post story have been to state that it was entirely tongue-in-cheek. Read the links I provided:

1) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rollo_Tomasi

Rollo Tomasi is an imaginary bad guy from the movie L.A. Confidential

2) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bruno_Richard_Hauptmann

Hauptmann was the German man executed for the abduction and murder of the Lindbergh baby.

3) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sacco_%26_Vanzetti

Ferdinando Sacco and Bartolomeo Vanzetti were two Italian men executed--perhaps wrongly--for the murder of two Massachusetts workers.

In other words, the Huffington Post article was illustrating the triviality of the Wolverine leak by juxtaposing it with a handful of real and imaginary criminal cases. It obviously worked for some, and not for others...
posted 29 weeks ago
  22 curios
i would rather sell at a lose than game what it will obviosly be your out come
posted 29 weeks ago

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