Created Fri 3rd Apr 2009 6:04am PST by

brian72975 Level 15, Seer (H$425,466)

What will the US unemployment rate be for April 2009?

Settled as 8.9 percent

Background: The Labor Department reported a drop in non-farm payroll of 663,000 for March 2009, raising the unemployment rate from 8.1 to 8.5 percent, the highest since 1983. Where will it land for April 2009?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Below 8.2 percent

8.2 or 8.3 percent

8.4 percent

8.5 percent

8.6 percent

8.7 percent

8.8 percent

20%

8.9 percent

39%

9.0 or 9.1 percent

20%

Above 9.1 percent

Settled as 8.9 percent on Mon 11th May 2009 7:58am PST

Activity: H$10,685
Predictions: 61
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Thu 30th Apr 2009 7am PST
Settlement date: Mon 11th May 2009 7:58am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 30th Apr 2009 7am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Below 8.2 percent: 2%, 8.2 or 8.3 percent: 5%, 8.4 percent: 8%, 8.5 percent: 15%, 8.6 percent: 20%, 8.7 percent: 20%, 8.8 percent: 15%, 8.9 percent: 8%, 9.0 or 9.1 percent: 5%, Above 9.1 percent: 2%

Action history:

Created Fri 3rd Apr 2009 6:05am PST by

brian72975 Level 15, Seer (H$425,466)

Suspended Thu 30th Apr 2009 7am PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Fri 8th May 2009 6am PST by

hfl13

: 8,9

http://money.aol.com/article/jobs/employers-shed-fewer-jobs-in-april/470816

Settlement requested Fri 8th May 2009 5:35pm PST by

horsefeathers Level 13, Psychic (H$59,800)

: he US unemployment rate now stands at 8.9%

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/wires/2009/05/08/april-unemployment-number_10_ws_200094.html

Settlement requested Sat 9th May 2009 6:16am PST by

horsefeathers Level 13, Psychic (H$59,800)

: this is the third time I've requested a settlement:

http://www.dol.gov/

Settled as '8.9 percent' Mon 11th May 2009 7:58am PST by

lesley [Admin]

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Predictions (61)

46 weeks ago

jondoeforty1 Level 1, Newbie (H$65)

predicted 8.7 percent (H$20 at 7%)

46 weeks ago

jondoeforty1 Level 1, Newbie (H$65)

predicted 8.9 percent (H$20 at 39%)

46 weeks ago

jondoeforty1 Level 1, Newbie (H$65)

predicted 8.8 percent (H$20 at 20%)

46 weeks ago

lynnbeighley Level 3, Apprentice (H$1,123)

predicted 8.9 percent (H$100 at 38%)

46 weeks ago

grilldor Level 1, Newbie (H$239)

predicted 8.8 percent (H$100 at 20%)

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