
RCP Poll Average: President Obama Job Approval - Which first, 62.0% or 59.0%?
Market settled based on data provided by RCP. Market backvoided to beginning of day of date 62 was achieved.
Background:>
Currently 60.7%(Apr 03).
Place your bets on which happens first, 62.0% or 59.0%.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html#chart
Settlement details:As reported by Real Clear Politics:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html#chart
| President Obama reaches 62.0% or higher first |
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| President Obama reaches 59.0% or lower first |
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| Remains 59.1% - 61.9% for all of April. |
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- Activity: H$120,100 |
- Predictions: 379 |
Comments: 8
Suspend date: Tue 28th Apr 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 28th Apr 12:19pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 25th Apr 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: President Obama reaches 62.0% or higher first: 47%, President Obama reaches 59.0% or lower first: 42%, Remains 59.1% - 61.9% for all of April.: 11%
Action history:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html#chart
Either ask RCP for the time or watch out for todays update and use that as an approximation.
Suspend date: Tue 28th Apr 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 28th Apr 12:19pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 25th Apr 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (379)
Comments (8)
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4/10/09---60.3% Approval
In between the two it's dropped as low as 60.2% and has gotten as high as 61.5%. Unless some disaster occurs, his approval rating will stay pretty consistent for the next 20 days at least.
higher
We're only 0.2% away from an early settlement!
At the moment there are only 5 grey polls.
63
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