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RCP Poll Average: President Obama Job Approval - Which first, 62.0% or 59.0%?

Settled as President Obama reaches 62.0% or higher first

Market settled based on data provided by RCP. Market backvoided to beginning of day of date 62 was achieved.

Background:

Background: RCP Poll Average: President Obama Job Approval

Currently 60.7%(Apr 03).

Place your bets on which happens first, 62.0% or 59.0%.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html#chart

Settlement details:As reported by Real Clear Politics:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html#chart

 
Forecast history %
President Obama reaches 62.0% or higher first
63%
President Obama reaches 59.0% or lower first
4%
Remains 59.1% - 61.9% for all of April.
33%
Settled as President Obama reaches 62.0% or higher first on Tue 28th Apr 12:19pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 28th Apr 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 28th Apr 12:19pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 25th Apr 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: President Obama reaches 62.0% or higher first: 47%, President Obama reaches 59.0% or lower first: 42%, Remains 59.1% - 61.9% for all of April.: 11%

Action history:

Created Fri 3rd Apr 5:34pm PST by fingers_of_fury
Suspended Sun 26th Apr 7:59am PST by destry[Admin]: Suspended. Will settle once it can be determined what time market was updated.
Settlement requested Tue 28th Apr 12:01pm PST by hfl13: Please settle.

Either ask RCP for the time or watch out for todays update and use that as an approximation.
Settled as 'President Obama reaches 62.0% or higher first' Tue 28th Apr 12:19pm PST by destry[Admin]: Market settled based on data provided by RCP. Market backvoided to beginning of day of date 62 was achieved.

Suspend date: Tue 28th Apr 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 28th Apr 12:19pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 25th Apr 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (379)

29 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted Remains 59.1% - 61.9% for all of April. (H$100 at 26%)
29 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted President Obama reaches 62.0% or higher first (H$200 at 60%)
30 weeks ago
john1 predicted President Obama reaches 59.0% or lower first (H$20 at 10%)
30 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted President Obama reaches 62.0% or higher first (H$250 at 77%)
30 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted Remains 59.1% - 61.9% for all of April. (H$125 at 15%)

Comments (8)

3/10/09---60.3% Approval
4/10/09---60.3% Approval

In between the two it's dropped as low as 60.2% and has gotten as high as 61.5%. Unless some disaster occurs, his approval rating will stay pretty consistent for the next 20 days at least.
posted 32 weeks ago
4/21/09---60.9% Approval
posted 30 weeks ago
  3 coolkraft
61.2
posted 30 weeks ago
61.8% Wow, must be something really good in the water!!!

We're only 0.2% away from an early settlement!
posted 30 weeks ago
  6 hfl13
Gallup just need to go to 66 or a new poll (CNN/ CBS is needed).

At the moment there are only 5 grey polls.
posted 30 weeks ago
  7 hfl13
His TV appearance next week might give him 1 point at Gallup and or Rasmussen (like the two times before).
posted 30 weeks ago

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