Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

How many hurricanes will occur this year in the Caribbean/Atlantic Basin region?

Background: Different years have different frequencies of hurricanes, dependent upon global warming, El Nino, La Nina, and other atmospheric / climate changes occurring. Last season, there were 8 hurricanes. What will happen this season? (runs June 1 to Nov. 30th).
For information on this, see below (get your red hot tickets).
How many hurricanes in the Caribbean/ Atlantic Basin?


This site has information about hurricanes, frequencies, size, etc.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane
This site has information about the seasons, and related information.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Atlantic_hurricane_season

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
fewer than 2, or 2
1%
3-4
96%
5
2%
6
0%
7
0%
8-9
0%
10-11
0%
12,more than 12, or other (negative, imaginary,etc
0%
Question suspends in 1 week

Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: fewer than 2, or 2: 5%, 3-4: 10%, 5: 15%, 6: 20%, 7: 20%, 8-9: 15%, 10-11: 10%, 12,more than 12, or other (negative, imaginary,etc: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 7th Apr 10:02am PST by bigken1

Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go) details

 

Predictions (100)

1 week ago
bigken1 predicted 3-4 (H$100 at 91%)
2 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 3-4 (H$2,000 at 85%)
2 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 5 (H$100 at 1%)
2 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 3-4 (H$900 at 37%)
2 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 3-4 (H$600 at 27%)

Comments (0)

No comments yet

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Unstormy weather

HOUSTON (Reuters) - Private forecaster AccuWeather.com on Thursday cut its forecast for this year's Atlantic Hurricane season, which begins June 1, to 10 named storms from the 12 it predicted in March. AccuWeather forecast six of the storms will be

score: 10
U.S. Gulf may see pop-up hurricanes

The Gulf of Mexico may see intense rapidly-developing hurricanes that appear to pop-up without warning during the 2009 Atlantic Hurricane season, said AccuWeather Chief Hurricane and Long-Range Forecaster Joe Bastardi said on Thursday. 'We're not going

score: 10
Forecaster says El Nino possible

Florida (Reuters) - Colorado State University hurricane forecaster Bill Gray said on Wednesday he may reduce his next Atlantic season forecast because sea temperatures are cooling and a weak El Nino may appear by late summer. 'Things are looking better

score: 10
US Gulf may see pop-up storms - Accuweather

coast. High pressure in Africa is blowing dry air and dust into the tropical Atlantic, which further inhibits storm development. This year, however, high winds in the stratosphere favor rapid development off the Gulf Coast, he said. 'We're not talking

score: 10
US Gulf may see pop-up hurricanes in '09-AccuWeather

The Gulf of Mexico may see intense rapidly-developing hurricanes that appear to pop-up without warning during the 2009 Atlantic Hurricane season, said AccuWeather Chief Hurricane and Long-Range Forecaster Joe Bastardi said on Thursday. 'We're not going