Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

Who will be first to get 1 million 'Followers' on Twitter?

Settled as Ashton Kutcher

But CNN breaks the news: http://twitter.com/cnnbrk

Background:

Background: The race is on to be the first to have over 1 million Twitter Followers. The battle is fairly tight as of today (Apr 8):
- CNN Breaking News: 839,245
- Britney Spears: 778,866
- Ashton Kutcher: 748,045

Ashton Kutcher is picking up followers quicker than Britney so it may be a 3 horse race. Follow the action on Twitterholic.com


UPDATE APRIL 16TH: After a lot of publicity, CNN is leading the pack, but Ashton is reducing the lead significantly:

CNN: 958,150
Britney: 925,900
Ashton: 939,813

Settlement details:As reported by *Mainstream News*

www.Twitterholic.com is a good resource but should not be considered definitive

 
Forecast history %
CNN Breaking News
4%
Britney Spears
0%
Ashton Kutcher
96%
Other
0%
Settled as Ashton Kutcher on Thu 16th Apr 10:54pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 8th Jul 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 16th Apr 10:54pm PST

Initial likelihoods: CNN Breaking News: 30%, Britney Spears: 30%, Ashton Kutcher: 30%, Other: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 8th Apr 1:06pm PST by warrickt
Settlement requested Thu 16th Apr 10:14pm PST by imantsdimants: http://www.chartbeat.com/cnnvsashton/

Ashton Kutcher wins
Settlement requested Thu 16th Apr 10:15pm PST by imantsdimants: http://www.tweetrace.com/

Ashton Kutcher wins
Settlement requested Thu 16th Apr 10:29pm PST by hfl13: Kutcher 1000986
CNN 998962
Britney 958097

http://www.tweetrace.com/
Settlement requested Thu 16th Apr 10:35pm PST by imantsdimants: http://justjared.buzznet.com/2009/04/17/ashton-kutcher-twitter-race/

Kutcher wins
Settled as 'Ashton Kutcher' Thu 16th Apr 10:54pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: But CNN breaks the news: http://twitter.com/cnnbrk

Suspend date: Wed 8th Jul 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 16th Apr 10:54pm PST details

 

Predictions (1202)

31 weeks ago
tinymarae predicted Ashton Kutcher (H$3,000 at 96%)
31 weeks ago
tinymarae predicted Ashton Kutcher (H$3,000 at 95%)
31 weeks ago
ivancheong89 predicted CNN Breaking News (H$20 at 8%)
31 weeks ago
tinymarae predicted CNN Breaking News (H$200 at 40%)
31 weeks ago
gonegonegone predicted CNN Breaking News (H$200 at 23%)

Comments (29)

  1 warrickt
Update 4/14/09:
CNN: 897,969
Britney: 873,333
Ashton: 844,042
posted 32 weeks ago
Ellen Degeneres is the sleeping long shot in this race.
posted 31 weeks ago
  3 hfl13
The public CNN Kutcher clash makes this difficult.
posted 31 weeks ago
http://www.tweetrace.com/
enjoy the stats
posted 31 weeks ago
  5 tinymarae
http://www.britneyspears.com/2009/04/follow-britney-on-twitter.php

Britney wants to get there first ;)
posted 31 weeks ago
CNN has stepped on the pedal, its gonna be a tight race!!

CNN 956K
Ashton 936K
Britney 924K
posted 31 weeks ago
  7 hfl13
Forget tweetrace stats. Settlement is by tweeterholic and Kutcher is sometimes a day late there. Its
CNN 923
Ashton 921K
Britney 889K
I will amke a screenshot to prove it.
posted 31 weeks ago
  8 tinymarae
To be fair, shouldnt the winner be who actually gets to million first?

P.S- I am not biased, I have betted heavily on cnn, & stand to gain a lot by the current criteria.
posted 31 weeks ago
  9 hfl13
Thats for the admins to sort out - hopefully the results are the same. Without the media buzz I am quite shure that Britney would have made it.

I can live with an Britney victory, a CNN victory or a voided question.
posted 31 weeks ago
  10 hfl13
Simular future questions should use tweetrace.
posted 31 weeks ago
  11 tinymarae
Kutcher is definitely gaining, but not fast enough :D
posted 31 weeks ago
  12 cookietime
gah this market wont sit still so i can place my bet ;)
posted 31 weeks ago
  13 tinymarae
True cookie time. Because it is so volatile you can definitely make a killing, if you hv time on your hands.
posted 31 weeks ago
  14 cookietime
woot finally got it on - lets hope it was worth it!!
posted 31 weeks ago
  15 pics4d
kutcher got like 60,000 yesterday and cnn didn't move at all
posted 31 weeks ago
  16 pics4d
ah..they finally changed it
posted 31 weeks ago
What's used for settlement? The accurate values from the Twitter website or the delayed (sometimes by as much as a week) values from Twitterholic?
posted 31 weeks ago
  18 hfl13
The creator said settlement by twitterholic.
posted 31 weeks ago
Twitterholic was later added by an admin. Picking Twitterholic to settle this bet is sort of contrary towards the actual question of "Who will be first to get 1 million Followers on Twitter?" since Twitterholic isn't accurate. Thus picking 'holic to settle this wouldn't answer this question but rather "Who is going to be first to get 1 million Followers on Twitterholic?".
Since this race is all over the news, we'd get a "better" answer to this question by picking a mainstream news source to settle this.
posted 31 weeks ago
Twitterholic was listed as the settlement source by the question creator (the edit you see by me was merely to hyperlink it so it was easier to check the stats). On the other hand, I do lean toward a "obvious" settlement in this case. Whoever hits 1 million first should win. We'll get an official clarification soon.
posted 31 weeks ago
  21 cookietime
I agree - an answer will come out of the mainstream press and it would be weird to settle differently just because one website gave a different answer. My guess is that tweetrace site is the more accurate since its numbers always seem to be higher than twitterholic...so its prob'ly the more up to date.
posted 31 weeks ago
  22 warrickt
I created the question and am not averse to the Cat Editor selecting a different settlement source.
posted 31 weeks ago
*Official Clarification* The market settles on mainstream news (likely the official twitter pages of each candidate).
posted 31 weeks ago
Thank you for clarifying the matter. And sorry for jumping to conclusions about the initial settlement source ;)
posted 31 weeks ago
  25 tinymarae
From Kutcher's twitter account - Kutcher is about to pass CNN. There is no stopping him now :)

http://tinyurl.com/ch6jt2
posted 31 weeks ago
  26 cookietime
Ashton has overtaken CNN, c'mon fulla DO IT
posted 31 weeks ago
congrat. to Ashton and to all hubdubers that make some $ on this one. (i'm not part of you :P)
posted 31 weeks ago
  28 tinymarae
CNN is gaining on Ashton now. WTF
posted 31 weeks ago
  29 tinymarae
Kutcher did it :)
posted 31 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Twitter race tight between Ashton Kutcher and CNN

(CNN) -- The online popularity contest between celebrity Ashton Kutcher and CNN narrowed Thursday, with Kutcher's Twitter following growing considerably overnight. Kutcher, who challenged CNN to be the first to 1 million followers on the micro-blogging

score: 10
Britney Joins Kutcher, CNN in Twitter Race

that some good can come out of it,' she said. But until this week, the CNN breaking news Twitter feed was not actually run by the cable news giant. The spokeswoman confirmed that this week ownership was officially transferred to it from James Cox, a

score: 10
Actor Ashton Kutcher, CNN in Twitter duel

24-hour news channel to see who can be the first to amass one million followers on micro-blogging service Twitter. Kutcher, whose Twitter handle is @aplusk, threw down the gauntlet to the Atlanta-based Cable News Network earlier this week after noticing

score: 10
Kutcher races CNN on Twitter

The online popularity contest between celebrity Ashton Kutcher and CNN narrowed Thursday, with Kutcher's Twitter following growing considerably overnight. Kutcher, who challenged CNN to be the first to 1 million followers on the micro-blogging site, had

score: 10
Interviews: CNN acquires own Twitter account, @cnnbrk, from James Cox

The race to 1 million Twitter followers has turned into a particularly 21st century kind of media circus. Ashton Kutcher, who has been steadily elevating his challenge to CNN, has come within about 17,000 followers

Related Tags

More questions by

warrickt
70% of previous questions settled successfully
7 settled, 3 voided